The fragmented field for Guinea-Bissau’s December 6, 2026 presidential vote stems from the November 2025 coup that annulled the prior contest and installed a military transitional junta. Fernando Dias da Costa holds a modest lead on trader consensus through his strong 2025 performance, opposition endorsements including from the PAIGC, and positioning as a challenger in the two-round system. Umaro Sissoco Embaló trails after his ouster, while a broad array of independents and lesser-known figures split remaining support amid a legal ban on opinion polls. Consolidation behind one contender could occur through party coalitions, junta-mediated agreements, or late campaign momentum in the run-up to the vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertPräsidentschaftswahl in Guinea-Bissau
Fernando Dias da Costa 14.2%
Siga Batista 5.5%
Baciro Djá 2.8%
José Mário Vaz 2.6%
$336,739 Vol.
$336,739 Vol.
Fernando Dias da Costa
14%
Siga Batista
5%
Baciro Djá
3%
José Mário Vaz
3%
Honório Augusto Lopes
3%
João de Deus Mendes
3%
Gruppeneintragstitel: Mamadu Iaia Djaló
2%
Gabriel Fernando Indi
2%
João Bernardo Vieira
2%
Mário da Silva Júnior
2%
Gruppeneintragstitel: Herculano Armando Bequinsa
1%
Umaro Sissoco Embaló
13%
Fernando Dias da Costa 14.2%
Siga Batista 5.5%
Baciro Djá 2.8%
José Mário Vaz 2.6%
$336,739 Vol.
$336,739 Vol.
Fernando Dias da Costa
14%
Siga Batista
5%
Baciro Djá
3%
José Mário Vaz
3%
Honório Augusto Lopes
3%
João de Deus Mendes
3%
Gruppeneintragstitel: Mamadu Iaia Djaló
2%
Gabriel Fernando Indi
2%
João Bernardo Vieira
2%
Mário da Silva Júnior
2%
Gruppeneintragstitel: Herculano Armando Bequinsa
1%
Umaro Sissoco Embaló
13%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Markt eröffnet: Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The fragmented field for Guinea-Bissau’s December 6, 2026 presidential vote stems from the November 2025 coup that annulled the prior contest and installed a military transitional junta. Fernando Dias da Costa holds a modest lead on trader consensus through his strong 2025 performance, opposition endorsements including from the PAIGC, and positioning as a challenger in the two-round system. Umaro Sissoco Embaló trails after his ouster, while a broad array of independents and lesser-known figures split remaining support amid a legal ban on opinion polls. Consolidation behind one contender could occur through party coalitions, junta-mediated agreements, or late campaign momentum in the run-up to the vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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