Official KNMI observations from Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station confirm the daily maximum temperature of 13°C reached in the early afternoon of May 14, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome as the market nears resolution via Wunderground data aligned with this authoritative source. Persistent northerly winds and cloudy conditions suppressed warming, keeping highs well below the mid-May climatological average of 16–17°C, consistent with recent ECMWF and national model forecasts predicting cool, unsettled weather. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-finalization data revisions by KNMI, which resolution rules ignore; otherwise, the observational record solidifies the positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 14?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 14?
13°C 100.0%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$54,502 Vol.
$54,502 Vol.
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 100.0%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$54,502 Vol.
$54,502 Vol.
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official KNMI observations from Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station confirm the daily maximum temperature of 13°C reached in the early afternoon of May 14, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome as the market nears resolution via Wunderground data aligned with this authoritative source. Persistent northerly winds and cloudy conditions suppressed warming, keeping highs well below the mid-May climatological average of 16–17°C, consistent with recent ECMWF and national model forecasts predicting cool, unsettled weather. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-finalization data revisions by KNMI, which resolution rules ignore; otherwise, the observational record solidifies the positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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