Recent short-range model guidance from sources including ECMWF and GFS consensus places Ankara’s August 16 maximum near 27–29 °C at the official Esenboğa station, with limited diurnal heating under mostly sunny skies and light northerly flow. Trader positioning splits evenly between 27 °C and 28 °C because ensemble spreads show modest sensitivity to small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak short-wave trough passage that could trim or enhance afternoon temperatures by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology (29–32 °C mean highs) and recent observed cooling from 29–30 °C earlier in the week anchor expectations, while the 48-hour forecast horizon leaves room for last-minute adjustments before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Ankara am 16. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Ankara am 16. August?
27°C 27%
28°C 27%
26°C 10%
29°C 10%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
10%
27°C
27%
28°C
27%
29°C
10%
30°C
4%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
5%
27°C 27%
28°C 27%
26°C 10%
29°C 10%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
6%
26°C
$0 Vol.
10%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
27%
29°C
$0 Vol.
10%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$0 Vol.
4%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from sources including ECMWF and GFS consensus places Ankara’s August 16 maximum near 27–29 °C at the official Esenboğa station, with limited diurnal heating under mostly sunny skies and light northerly flow. Trader positioning splits evenly between 27 °C and 28 °C because ensemble spreads show modest sensitivity to small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak short-wave trough passage that could trim or enhance afternoon temperatures by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology (29–32 °C mean highs) and recent observed cooling from 29–30 °C earlier in the week anchor expectations, while the 48-hour forecast horizon leaves room for last-minute adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from sources including ECMWF and GFS consensus places Ankara’s August 16 maximum near 27–29 °C at the official Esenboğa station, with limited diurnal heating under mostly sunny skies and light northerly flow. Trader positioning splits evenly between 27 °C and 28 °C because ensemble spreads show modest sensitivity to small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak short-wave trough passage that could trim or enhance afternoon temperatures by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology (29–32 °C mean highs) and recent observed cooling from 29–30 °C earlier in the week anchor expectations, while the 48-hour forecast horizon leaves room for last-minute adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model guidance from sources including ECMWF and GFS consensus places Ankara’s August 16 maximum near 27–29 °C at the official Esenboğa station, with limited diurnal heating under mostly sunny skies and light northerly flow. Trader positioning splits evenly between 27 °C and 28 °C because ensemble spreads show modest sensitivity to small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak short-wave trough passage that could trim or enhance afternoon temperatures by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology (29–32 °C mean highs) and recent observed cooling from 29–30 °C earlier in the week anchor expectations, while the 48-hour forecast horizon leaves room for last-minute adjustments before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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