Recent monsoon forecasts from the India Meteorological Department show active rainfall and increased cloud cover likely moderating peak temperatures in Lucknow on August 16, keeping daily maxima clustered around 30–32°C. Model consensus highlights the position of the monsoon trough and potential for scattered thundershowers as the dominant variables, with slight differences in timing and intensity creating the tight spread between 31°C and 32°C leading outcomes. Historical August baselines for the region average near 33°C under drier conditions, but current humidity and wind patterns support the market-implied clustering. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 16. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 16. August?
31°C 38%
32°C 33%
33°C 17%
30°C 16%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
16%
31°C
38%
32°C
33%
33°C
17%
34°C
5%
35°C
7%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 38%
32°C 33%
33°C 17%
30°C 16%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
27°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$10 Vol.
4%
29°C
$37 Vol.
8%
30°C
$0 Vol.
16%
31°C
$0 Vol.
38%
32°C
$0 Vol.
33%
33°C
$0 Vol.
17%
34°C
$0 Vol.
5%
35°C
$5 Vol.
7%
36°C
$5 Vol.
4%
37°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon forecasts from the India Meteorological Department show active rainfall and increased cloud cover likely moderating peak temperatures in Lucknow on August 16, keeping daily maxima clustered around 30–32°C. Model consensus highlights the position of the monsoon trough and potential for scattered thundershowers as the dominant variables, with slight differences in timing and intensity creating the tight spread between 31°C and 32°C leading outcomes. Historical August baselines for the region average near 33°C under drier conditions, but current humidity and wind patterns support the market-implied clustering. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$67Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon forecasts from the India Meteorological Department show active rainfall and increased cloud cover likely moderating peak temperatures in Lucknow on August 16, keeping daily maxima clustered around 30–32°C. Model consensus highlights the position of the monsoon trough and potential for scattered thundershowers as the dominant variables, with slight differences in timing and intensity creating the tight spread between 31°C and 32°C leading outcomes. Historical August baselines for the region average near 33°C under drier conditions, but current humidity and wind patterns support the market-implied clustering. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$67Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon forecasts from the India Meteorological Department show active rainfall and increased cloud cover likely moderating peak temperatures in Lucknow on August 16, keeping daily maxima clustered around 30–32°C. Model consensus highlights the position of the monsoon trough and potential for scattered thundershowers as the dominant variables, with slight differences in timing and intensity creating the tight spread between 31°C and 32°C leading outcomes. Historical August baselines for the region average near 33°C under drier conditions, but current humidity and wind patterns support the market-implied clustering. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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