Recent forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts models indicate Ankara’s peak temperature on May 17 will likely fall between 19°C and 20°C, driven by moderate southwesterly flow and limited cloud cover allowing daytime heating. These outcomes dominate market-implied odds because ensemble runs show consistent afternoon maxima near those thresholds, with only small variations from local topography and urban heat effects. Traders weigh the slight chance of 18°C if thicker high clouds arrive earlier or 21°C if clearer skies boost insolation, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range model guidance this close to resolution. Historical May averages for the capital hover around 22°C, yet current atmospheric conditions point toward a cooler-than-normal reading today.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Ankara am 17. Mai?
19°C 37%
20°C 29%
18°C 22%
21°C 8%
$16,606 Vol.
$16,606 Vol.
13°C oder weniger
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
22%
19°C
37%
20°C
29%
21°C
8%
22°C
2%
23°C oder höher
<1%
19°C 37%
20°C 29%
18°C 22%
21°C 8%
$16,606 Vol.
$16,606 Vol.
13°C oder weniger
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
22%
19°C
37%
20°C
29%
21°C
8%
22°C
2%
23°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACRecent forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts models indicate Ankara’s peak temperature on May 17 will likely fall between 19°C and 20°C, driven by moderate southwesterly flow and limited cloud cover allowing daytime heating. These outcomes dominate market-implied odds because ensemble runs show consistent afternoon maxima near those thresholds, with only small variations from local topography and urban heat effects. Traders weigh the slight chance of 18°C if thicker high clouds arrive earlier or 21°C if clearer skies boost insolation, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range model guidance this close to resolution. Historical May averages for the capital hover around 22°C, yet current atmospheric conditions point toward a cooler-than-normal reading today.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen