Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs updated on September 18, indicate a high of 23–24°C for Ankara on September 19 under stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and mostly clear skies with minimal cloud cover. This aligns with typical late-September climatology for the region’s continental climate, where daytime maxima cool from summer peaks near 30°C amid dry conditions and no significant frontal systems. Trader consensus heavily favors 24°C at 55.5% implied probability, reflecting model agreement on peak afternoon temperatures near that threshold, while the 29.5% on 23°C and 14.5% on 25°C capture remaining ensemble spread from minor variations in timing or local effects. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Ankara am 19. September?
24°C 52%
23°C 32%
25°C 13%
22°C 2%
$10,858 Vol.
$10,858 Vol.
19°C oder darunter
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
32%
24°C
52%
25°C
13%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
24°C 52%
23°C 32%
25°C 13%
22°C 2%
$10,858 Vol.
$10,858 Vol.
19°C oder darunter
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
32%
24°C
52%
25°C
13%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs updated on September 18, indicate a high of 23–24°C for Ankara on September 19 under stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and mostly clear skies with minimal cloud cover. This aligns with typical late-September climatology for the region’s continental climate, where daytime maxima cool from summer peaks near 30°C amid dry conditions and no significant frontal systems. Trader consensus heavily favors 24°C at 55.5% implied probability, reflecting model agreement on peak afternoon temperatures near that threshold, while the 29.5% on 23°C and 14.5% on 25°C capture remaining ensemble spread from minor variations in timing or local effects. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen