Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a daily maximum near 30 °C for Chengdu on May 17, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan Basin that promotes clear skies and modest daytime heating. Light northeasterly winds and low precipitation chances below 15 percent reduce evaporative cooling, allowing surface temperatures to climb slightly above the late-May climatological average of 27–28 °C. Lingering boundary-layer moisture and variable low-level clouds introduce modest forecast spread, keeping 31 °C a plausible secondary outcome while rendering extremes below 29 °C or above 32 °C far less likely. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and historical analogs, with any final-hour adjustments in steering flow or cloud cover poised to refine the resolution window before official observations close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 17. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 17. Mai?
31°C 39.1%
30°C 23%
32°C 7.5%
29°C 6%
$37,904 Vol.
$37,904 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
6%
30°C
23%
31°C
38%
32°C
8%
33°C or higher
1%
31°C 39.1%
30°C 23%
32°C 7.5%
29°C 6%
$37,904 Vol.
$37,904 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
23°C or below
$1,343 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,705 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,055 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,942 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5,229 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5,769 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,828 Vol.
6%
30°C
$3,160 Vol.
23%
31°C
$3,584 Vol.
38%
32°C
$2,896 Vol.
8%
33°C or higher
$2,957 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a daily maximum near 30 °C for Chengdu on May 17, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan Basin that promotes clear skies and modest daytime heating. Light northeasterly winds and low precipitation chances below 15 percent reduce evaporative cooling, allowing surface temperatures to climb slightly above the late-May climatological average of 27–28 °C. Lingering boundary-layer moisture and variable low-level clouds introduce modest forecast spread, keeping 31 °C a plausible secondary outcome while rendering extremes below 29 °C or above 32 °C far less likely. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and historical analogs, with any final-hour adjustments in steering flow or cloud cover poised to refine the resolution window before official observations close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$37,904Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a daily maximum near 30 °C for Chengdu on May 17, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan Basin that promotes clear skies and modest daytime heating. Light northeasterly winds and low precipitation chances below 15 percent reduce evaporative cooling, allowing surface temperatures to climb slightly above the late-May climatological average of 27–28 °C. Lingering boundary-layer moisture and variable low-level clouds introduce modest forecast spread, keeping 31 °C a plausible secondary outcome while rendering extremes below 29 °C or above 32 °C far less likely. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and historical analogs, with any final-hour adjustments in steering flow or cloud cover poised to refine the resolution window before official observations close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$37,904Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUURecent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a daily maximum near 30 °C for Chengdu on May 17, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan Basin that promotes clear skies and modest daytime heating. Light northeasterly winds and low precipitation chances below 15 percent reduce evaporative cooling, allowing surface temperatures to climb slightly above the late-May climatological average of 27–28 °C. Lingering boundary-layer moisture and variable low-level clouds introduce modest forecast spread, keeping 31 °C a plausible secondary outcome while rendering extremes below 29 °C or above 32 °C far less likely. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and historical analogs, with any final-hour adjustments in steering flow or cloud cover poised to refine the resolution window before official observations close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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