Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and aligned models place Lucknow's September 9 maximum near 34°C under partly cloudy skies with afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity typical of the retreating monsoon. This consensus, reinforced by real-time observations at Lucknow Airport showing a peak of 34.6°C, drives the 99.9% market-implied probability for exactly 34°C. Thunderstorm timing and localized rain could cap the high slightly lower or allow brief spikes, though model agreement and climatological norms for early September reduce those risks. Updated IMD readings or measurement station differences remain the key variables that could shift final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 9. September?
34°C 100.0%
27°C oder weniger <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$29,156 Vol.
$29,156 Vol.
27°C oder weniger
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C
Nein
34°C
Ja
35°C
Nein
36°C
Nein
37°C oder höher
Nein
34°C 100.0%
27°C oder weniger <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$29,156 Vol.
$29,156 Vol.
27°C oder weniger
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C
Nein
34°C
Ja
35°C
Nein
36°C
Nein
37°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and aligned models place Lucknow's September 9 maximum near 34°C under partly cloudy skies with afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity typical of the retreating monsoon. This consensus, reinforced by real-time observations at Lucknow Airport showing a peak of 34.6°C, drives the 99.9% market-implied probability for exactly 34°C. Thunderstorm timing and localized rain could cap the high slightly lower or allow brief spikes, though model agreement and climatological norms for early September reduce those risks. Updated IMD readings or measurement station differences remain the key variables that could shift final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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