Official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport, the market's resolution station, already show temperatures surpassing 19°C this morning, with current readings around 22°C under mostly sunny skies as of early afternoon on May 15. Forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international models like those on AccuWeather project today's high near 26–30°C, driven by May's dry season climatology—averaging 25°C highs at Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation—and absent cold fronts or cloud cover to suppress heating. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this near-certainty, backed by real-time METAR data and diurnal solar warming patterns. Only an unprecedented mid-day cold snap could challenge it, though no such indicators exist in current atmospheric conditions. Final high reports expected by evening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 15?
19°C or higher 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$18,853 Vol.
$18,853 Vol.
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
Yes
19°C or higher 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$18,853 Vol.
$18,853 Vol.
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 13, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport, the market's resolution station, already show temperatures surpassing 19°C this morning, with current readings around 22°C under mostly sunny skies as of early afternoon on May 15. Forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international models like those on AccuWeather project today's high near 26–30°C, driven by May's dry season climatology—averaging 25°C highs at Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation—and absent cold fronts or cloud cover to suppress heating. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this near-certainty, backed by real-time METAR data and diurnal solar warming patterns. Only an unprecedented mid-day cold snap could challenge it, though no such indicators exist in current atmospheric conditions. Final high reports expected by evening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen