Current forecasts from multiple models point to a maximum of 27–28°C in Milan on September 15 under clear skies, light easterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk, aligning with the market's dominant implied probabilities. Stable high pressure and seasonal late-summer conditions support this range, with daytime highs typically peaking in the mid-afternoon. Recent model consensus shows little divergence, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak by 1°C. Historical September maxima average near 22–24°C, making the expected outcome mildly elevated but consistent with ongoing warm advection patterns. Updated forecasts and real-time observations tomorrow morning will refine the final recorded high before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 15. September?
27°C 62%
28°C 33%
26°C 8%
29°C 2%
$16,853 Vol.
$16,853 Vol.
21°C oder darunter
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
8%
27°C
62%
28°C
33%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C oder höher
<1%
27°C 62%
28°C 33%
26°C 8%
29°C 2%
$16,853 Vol.
$16,853 Vol.
21°C oder darunter
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
8%
27°C
62%
28°C
33%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models point to a maximum of 27–28°C in Milan on September 15 under clear skies, light easterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk, aligning with the market's dominant implied probabilities. Stable high pressure and seasonal late-summer conditions support this range, with daytime highs typically peaking in the mid-afternoon. Recent model consensus shows little divergence, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak by 1°C. Historical September maxima average near 22–24°C, making the expected outcome mildly elevated but consistent with ongoing warm advection patterns. Updated forecasts and real-time observations tomorrow morning will refine the final recorded high before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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