Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources project a peak of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv today under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds of 8–12 km/h, and elevated humidity contributing to heat stress. This aligns with August climatology where daily highs average near 32°C, though recent model runs have shown slight upward revisions amid persistent warm advection. The market-implied odds heavily favor 33°C (67.5%) over 34°C (29.5%) because ensemble consensus places the most likely maximum in that narrow band, with minimal precipitation risk and no major steering pattern changes expected before evening. Traders appear to weigh the balance between dry conditions supporting higher readings and coastal moderation capping extremes. Updated afternoon observations or refined model outputs later today represent the main near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 27. August?
33°C 68%
34°C 30%
32°C 2%
35°C 2%
$15,480 Vol.
$15,480 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
68%
34°C
30%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 68%
34°C 30%
32°C 2%
35°C 2%
$15,480 Vol.
$15,480 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
68%
34°C
30%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources project a peak of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv today under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds of 8–12 km/h, and elevated humidity contributing to heat stress. This aligns with August climatology where daily highs average near 32°C, though recent model runs have shown slight upward revisions amid persistent warm advection. The market-implied odds heavily favor 33°C (67.5%) over 34°C (29.5%) because ensemble consensus places the most likely maximum in that narrow band, with minimal precipitation risk and no major steering pattern changes expected before evening. Traders appear to weigh the balance between dry conditions supporting higher readings and coastal moderation capping extremes. Updated afternoon observations or refined model outputs later today represent the main near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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