**Forecast models and real-time observations position 32°C or higher as the leading outcome for Zhengzhou’s August 29 high, consistent with the 73.5% market-implied probability.** Multiple sources, including hourly data from monitoring stations and numerical weather prediction runs, project a daytime peak of 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds (2–6 km/h), and negligible precipitation. Afternoon solar heating on this date, following a brief cool spell earlier in the week, supports temperatures climbing into the low 30s, with some guidance reaching 32°C by mid-afternoon. The 27.5% odds on exactly 31°C reflect residual uncertainty from cloud cover variations and model spread, while lower thresholds carry negligible probability given current trends. Traders are weighting the consensus from official and ensemble forecasts showing continued warming through the afternoon hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Zhengzhou am 29. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Zhengzhou am 29. August?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
NEU
NEU
29. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
NEU
NEU
29. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
$985 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$235 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$765 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$340 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$276 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$776 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$738 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$617 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and real-time observations position 32°C or higher as the leading outcome for Zhengzhou’s August 29 high, consistent with the 73.5% market-implied probability.** Multiple sources, including hourly data from monitoring stations and numerical weather prediction runs, project a daytime peak of 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds (2–6 km/h), and negligible precipitation. Afternoon solar heating on this date, following a brief cool spell earlier in the week, supports temperatures climbing into the low 30s, with some guidance reaching 32°C by mid-afternoon. The 27.5% odds on exactly 31°C reflect residual uncertainty from cloud cover variations and model spread, while lower thresholds carry negligible probability given current trends. Traders are weighting the consensus from official and ensemble forecasts showing continued warming through the afternoon hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$5,213Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and real-time observations position 32°C or higher as the leading outcome for Zhengzhou’s August 29 high, consistent with the 73.5% market-implied probability.** Multiple sources, including hourly data from monitoring stations and numerical weather prediction runs, project a daytime peak of 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds (2–6 km/h), and negligible precipitation. Afternoon solar heating on this date, following a brief cool spell earlier in the week, supports temperatures climbing into the low 30s, with some guidance reaching 32°C by mid-afternoon. The 27.5% odds on exactly 31°C reflect residual uncertainty from cloud cover variations and model spread, while lower thresholds carry negligible probability given current trends. Traders are weighting the consensus from official and ensemble forecasts showing continued warming through the afternoon hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,213Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and real-time observations position 32°C or higher as the leading outcome for Zhengzhou’s August 29 high, consistent with the 73.5% market-implied probability.** Multiple sources, including hourly data from monitoring stations and numerical weather prediction runs, project a daytime peak of 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds (2–6 km/h), and negligible precipitation. Afternoon solar heating on this date, following a brief cool spell earlier in the week, supports temperatures climbing into the low 30s, with some guidance reaching 32°C by mid-afternoon. The 27.5% odds on exactly 31°C reflect residual uncertainty from cloud cover variations and model spread, while lower thresholds carry negligible probability given current trends. Traders are weighting the consensus from official and ensemble forecasts showing continued warming through the afternoon hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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