Recent labor market data releases have kept September nonfarm payrolls expectations subdued, with trader consensus pricing the highest implied probabilities around modest gains of 0-100k amid signs of cooling demand. Mixed signals from initial jobless claims, ADP private payroll figures, and revisions to prior months have created a tight distribution across low-positive and near-flat outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over whether the slowdown will persist into the final quarter. Key upcoming catalysts include the September jobs report itself and any interim high-frequency indicators that could shift Fed rate path expectations or Treasury yield benchmarks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWie viele Arbeitsplätze wurden im September hinzugefügt?
50.000 bis 100.000 26%
100.000 bis 150.000 24%
0 bis 50.000 22%
-50k bis 0 12%
<-50k
9%
-50k bis 0
12%
0 bis 50.000
22%
50.000 bis 100.000
26%
100.000 bis 150.000
24%
150.000 bis 200.000
5%
200.000+
8%
50.000 bis 100.000 26%
100.000 bis 150.000 24%
0 bis 50.000 22%
-50k bis 0 12%
<-50k
9%
-50k bis 0
12%
0 bis 50.000
22%
50.000 bis 100.000
26%
100.000 bis 150.000
24%
150.000 bis 200.000
5%
200.000+
8%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Markt eröffnet: Sep 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent labor market data releases have kept September nonfarm payrolls expectations subdued, with trader consensus pricing the highest implied probabilities around modest gains of 0-100k amid signs of cooling demand. Mixed signals from initial jobless claims, ADP private payroll figures, and revisions to prior months have created a tight distribution across low-positive and near-flat outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over whether the slowdown will persist into the final quarter. Key upcoming catalysts include the September jobs report itself and any interim high-frequency indicators that could shift Fed rate path expectations or Treasury yield benchmarks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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