Recent S&P Global flash data showing the August services PMI surging to a 20-month high of 56.8 has anchored trader expectations for the official ISM reading in the mid-55 range, where the 55.0–55.9 bucket holds the largest share of implied probability. July’s ISM Services PMI of 54.1, coupled with accelerating new orders and business activity, reinforced the services sector’s role as the primary driver of third-quarter GDP momentum above the second quarter’s 1.5% annualized pace. Elevated but easing input costs, improving hiring intentions, and reduced supply-chain friction from earlier geopolitical pressures have further supported consensus around sustained expansion above 53. The August 5 release of July data and the August 21 flash survey remain the dominant recent catalysts shaping these probabilities ahead of the September 3 ISM report.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert55.0–55.9 42.0%
53.0–53.9 32%
54.0–54.9 17.9%
52.0–52.9 5.2%
$34,295 Vol.
$34,295 Vol.
3. Sep. 2026
<50.0
1%
50.0–50.9
1%
51.0–51.9
2%
52.0–52.9
5%
53.0–53.9
32%
54.0–54.9
18%
55.0–55.9
42%
56.0–56.9
4%
57.0–57.9
2%
58.0+
2%
55.0–55.9 42.0%
53.0–53.9 32%
54.0–54.9 17.9%
52.0–52.9 5.2%
$34,295 Vol.
$34,295 Vol.
3. Sep. 2026
<50.0
$640 Vol.
1%
50.0–50.9
$733 Vol.
1%
51.0–51.9
$731 Vol.
2%
52.0–52.9
$3,948 Vol.
5%
53.0–53.9
$15,143 Vol.
32%
54.0–54.9
$6,223 Vol.
18%
55.0–55.9
$4,522 Vol.
42%
56.0–56.9
$789 Vol.
4%
57.0–57.9
$836 Vol.
2%
58.0+
$732 Vol.
2%
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent S&P Global flash data showing the August services PMI surging to a 20-month high of 56.8 has anchored trader expectations for the official ISM reading in the mid-55 range, where the 55.0–55.9 bucket holds the largest share of implied probability. July’s ISM Services PMI of 54.1, coupled with accelerating new orders and business activity, reinforced the services sector’s role as the primary driver of third-quarter GDP momentum above the second quarter’s 1.5% annualized pace. Elevated but easing input costs, improving hiring intentions, and reduced supply-chain friction from earlier geopolitical pressures have further supported consensus around sustained expansion above 53. The August 5 release of July data and the August 21 flash survey remain the dominant recent catalysts shaping these probabilities ahead of the September 3 ISM report.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
Volumen
$34,295Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETThis is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent S&P Global flash data showing the August services PMI surging to a 20-month high of 56.8 has anchored trader expectations for the official ISM reading in the mid-55 range, where the 55.0–55.9 bucket holds the largest share of implied probability. July’s ISM Services PMI of 54.1, coupled with accelerating new orders and business activity, reinforced the services sector’s role as the primary driver of third-quarter GDP momentum above the second quarter’s 1.5% annualized pace. Elevated but easing input costs, improving hiring intentions, and reduced supply-chain friction from earlier geopolitical pressures have further supported consensus around sustained expansion above 53. The August 5 release of July data and the August 21 flash survey remain the dominant recent catalysts shaping these probabilities ahead of the September 3 ISM report.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$34,295Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETRecent S&P Global flash data showing the August services PMI surging to a 20-month high of 56.8 has anchored trader expectations for the official ISM reading in the mid-55 range, where the 55.0–55.9 bucket holds the largest share of implied probability. July’s ISM Services PMI of 54.1, coupled with accelerating new orders and business activity, reinforced the services sector’s role as the primary driver of third-quarter GDP momentum above the second quarter’s 1.5% annualized pace. Elevated but easing input costs, improving hiring intentions, and reduced supply-chain friction from earlier geopolitical pressures have further supported consensus around sustained expansion above 53. The August 5 release of July data and the August 21 flash survey remain the dominant recent catalysts shaping these probabilities ahead of the September 3 ISM report.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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