Latest ensemble guidance from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts shows an overnight low near 10°C at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station on May 17, driven by a moderating northerly flow and increasing high pressure that supports moderate radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average overnight lows hover around 10°C after a brief cool spell earlier in the week. Model consensus now clusters tightly within the 9–11°C range as daytime highs recover to 18–19°C. While the market-implied 96.5% odds on 10°C reflect strong trader consensus backed by this forecast convergence, a late shift in cloud cover or an updated model run could still push the minimum into the adjacent 9°C or 11°C brackets before official observation closes the window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 17. Mai?
10°C 96.5%
9°C 2.3%
8°C <1%
4°C <1%
$7,184 Vol.
$7,184 Vol.
2°C oder darunter
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
2%
10°C
97%
11°C
<1%
12°C oder höher
<1%
10°C 96.5%
9°C 2.3%
8°C <1%
4°C <1%
$7,184 Vol.
$7,184 Vol.
2°C oder darunter
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
2%
10°C
97%
11°C
<1%
12°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest ensemble guidance from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts shows an overnight low near 10°C at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station on May 17, driven by a moderating northerly flow and increasing high pressure that supports moderate radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average overnight lows hover around 10°C after a brief cool spell earlier in the week. Model consensus now clusters tightly within the 9–11°C range as daytime highs recover to 18–19°C. While the market-implied 96.5% odds on 10°C reflect strong trader consensus backed by this forecast convergence, a late shift in cloud cover or an updated model run could still push the minimum into the adjacent 9°C or 11°C brackets before official observation closes the window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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