Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate mild conditions for Qingdao on September 16, with southerly flows, clear to partly cloudy skies, and limited radiative cooling under high pressure yielding expected overnight lows near 22–24°C. Coastal marine influence from the Yellow Sea further moderates minimum temperatures, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise drive sharper drops. Recent stability in subtropical high patterns has kept variability low over the past week, yet minor model spreads in timing of any cloud increase or wind shift create the observed market dispersion, with elevated implied probabilities on both sub-17°C and 26°C+ extremes reflecting trader hedging around observational thresholds and potential late adjustments in guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Qingdao am 16. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Qingdao am 16. September?
16°C oder weniger 76%
26°C oder höher 76%
21°C 39%
22°C 39%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
16°C oder weniger
76%
17°C
22%
18°C
23%
19°C
27%
20°C
22%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
14%
24°C
13%
25°C
13%
26°C oder höher
76%
16°C oder weniger 76%
26°C oder höher 76%
21°C 39%
22°C 39%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
16°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
76%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$0 Vol.
23%
19°C
$0 Vol.
27%
20°C
$0 Vol.
22%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
14%
24°C
$0 Vol.
13%
25°C
$0 Vol.
13%
26°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
76%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate mild conditions for Qingdao on September 16, with southerly flows, clear to partly cloudy skies, and limited radiative cooling under high pressure yielding expected overnight lows near 22–24°C. Coastal marine influence from the Yellow Sea further moderates minimum temperatures, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise drive sharper drops. Recent stability in subtropical high patterns has kept variability low over the past week, yet minor model spreads in timing of any cloud increase or wind shift create the observed market dispersion, with elevated implied probabilities on both sub-17°C and 26°C+ extremes reflecting trader hedging around observational thresholds and potential late adjustments in guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate mild conditions for Qingdao on September 16, with southerly flows, clear to partly cloudy skies, and limited radiative cooling under high pressure yielding expected overnight lows near 22–24°C. Coastal marine influence from the Yellow Sea further moderates minimum temperatures, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise drive sharper drops. Recent stability in subtropical high patterns has kept variability low over the past week, yet minor model spreads in timing of any cloud increase or wind shift create the observed market dispersion, with elevated implied probabilities on both sub-17°C and 26°C+ extremes reflecting trader hedging around observational thresholds and potential late adjustments in guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate mild conditions for Qingdao on September 16, with southerly flows, clear to partly cloudy skies, and limited radiative cooling under high pressure yielding expected overnight lows near 22–24°C. Coastal marine influence from the Yellow Sea further moderates minimum temperatures, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise drive sharper drops. Recent stability in subtropical high patterns has kept variability low over the past week, yet minor model spreads in timing of any cloud increase or wind shift create the observed market dispersion, with elevated implied probabilities on both sub-17°C and 26°C+ extremes reflecting trader hedging around observational thresholds and potential late adjustments in guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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