Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and other models indicate overnight lows in Incheon around 22–24°C on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, light easterly winds, and possible light rain moderating radiative cooling. Late-August climatology features typical diurnal ranges of 5–8°C under humid conditions, with urban heat effects in Seoul and marine influence at Incheon limiting sharper drops. Trader sentiment clusters near 22–23°C outcomes because model consensus shows steady overnight temperatures near the seasonal average, while the elevated probability on 28°C or higher reflects uncertainty if thicker clouds or stalled frontal activity suppress cooling further. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 31. August?
28°C oder höher 57%
22°C 28%
21°C 25%
23°C 22%
18°C oder darunter
4%
19°C
7%
20°C
11%
21°C
25%
22°C
28%
23°C
22%
24°C
16%
25°C
17%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C oder höher
57%
28°C oder höher 57%
22°C 28%
21°C 25%
23°C 22%
18°C oder darunter
4%
19°C
7%
20°C
11%
21°C
25%
22°C
28%
23°C
22%
24°C
16%
25°C
17%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C oder höher
57%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and other models indicate overnight lows in Incheon around 22–24°C on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, light easterly winds, and possible light rain moderating radiative cooling. Late-August climatology features typical diurnal ranges of 5–8°C under humid conditions, with urban heat effects in Seoul and marine influence at Incheon limiting sharper drops. Trader sentiment clusters near 22–23°C outcomes because model consensus shows steady overnight temperatures near the seasonal average, while the elevated probability on 28°C or higher reflects uncertainty if thicker clouds or stalled frontal activity suppress cooling further. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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