Global forecast models from the ECMWF and GFS show tight ensemble convergence on an overnight low of 19°C in Shanghai for May 17, driving the market’s overwhelming 99.4% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-May climatology under neutral spring conditions typically produces Shanghai minima between 17°C and 21°C, influenced by East Asian monsoon maritime air masses and variable cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. A persistent high-pressure ridge could allow slightly higher readings, while a weak trough or stronger sea-breeze advection might lower the minimum by one degree. Traders are watching the next China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF model runs for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could alter the final observed low.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 17. Mai?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 17. Mai?
19°C 99.3%
20°C <1%
18°C <1%
16°C <1%
$11,079 Vol.
$11,079 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
14°C oder darunter
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
99%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C oder höher
<1%
19°C 99.3%
20°C <1%
18°C <1%
16°C <1%
$11,079 Vol.
$11,079 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
14°C oder darunter
$776 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$626 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$563 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$934 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$901 Vol.
1%
19°C
$2,045 Vol.
99%
20°C
$2,433 Vol.
1%
21°C
$913 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$528 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$583 Vol.
<1%
24°C oder höher
$778 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Global forecast models from the ECMWF and GFS show tight ensemble convergence on an overnight low of 19°C in Shanghai for May 17, driving the market’s overwhelming 99.4% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-May climatology under neutral spring conditions typically produces Shanghai minima between 17°C and 21°C, influenced by East Asian monsoon maritime air masses and variable cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. A persistent high-pressure ridge could allow slightly higher readings, while a weak trough or stronger sea-breeze advection might lower the minimum by one degree. Traders are watching the next China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF model runs for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could alter the final observed low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Volumen
$11,079Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Global forecast models from the ECMWF and GFS show tight ensemble convergence on an overnight low of 19°C in Shanghai for May 17, driving the market’s overwhelming 99.4% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-May climatology under neutral spring conditions typically produces Shanghai minima between 17°C and 21°C, influenced by East Asian monsoon maritime air masses and variable cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. A persistent high-pressure ridge could allow slightly higher readings, while a weak trough or stronger sea-breeze advection might lower the minimum by one degree. Traders are watching the next China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF model runs for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could alter the final observed low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$11,079Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDGlobal forecast models from the ECMWF and GFS show tight ensemble convergence on an overnight low of 19°C in Shanghai for May 17, driving the market’s overwhelming 99.4% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-May climatology under neutral spring conditions typically produces Shanghai minima between 17°C and 21°C, influenced by East Asian monsoon maritime air masses and variable cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. A persistent high-pressure ridge could allow slightly higher readings, while a weak trough or stronger sea-breeze advection might lower the minimum by one degree. Traders are watching the next China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF model runs for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could alter the final observed low.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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