Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on September 10 will reach 22°C amid partly cloudy to overcast skies, light northwest winds, and moderate humidity near 70-80%. This consensus stems from stable atmospheric conditions with limited radiative cooling and no significant cold advection, aligning closely with historical September baselines for the region. Trader positioning at 96.5% for 22°C reflects the narrow spread in official guidance and observational data through the evening. A realistic shift toward 21°C would require clearer skies enhancing overnight heat loss or localized station variations, though current model agreement makes such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 10. September?
22°C 97%
21°C 1.3%
20°C <1%
19°C <1%
$15,841 Vol.
$15,841 Vol.
18°C oder darunter
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
97%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C oder höher
<1%
22°C 97%
21°C 1.3%
20°C <1%
19°C <1%
$15,841 Vol.
$15,841 Vol.
18°C oder darunter
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
97%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on September 10 will reach 22°C amid partly cloudy to overcast skies, light northwest winds, and moderate humidity near 70-80%. This consensus stems from stable atmospheric conditions with limited radiative cooling and no significant cold advection, aligning closely with historical September baselines for the region. Trader positioning at 96.5% for 22°C reflects the narrow spread in official guidance and observational data through the evening. A realistic shift toward 21°C would require clearer skies enhancing overnight heat loss or localized station variations, though current model agreement makes such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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