Recent forecast model runs from global and regional systems, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, support a nocturnal minimum near 17°C in Zhengzhou under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds under 5 km/h, and moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs of 28–29°C. Dew points around 15–17°C and relative humidity climbing above 70% overnight limit further drops, while the absence of a strong cold advection or precipitation maintains this range rather than pushing into the mid-teens. Historical September climatology for the region shows average lows near 16–18°C during similar high-pressure setups, aligning trader consensus with the 85% implied probability on 17°C. Updated model guidance expected from the China Meteorological Administration later today could refine these probabilities ahead of official station readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Zhengzhou am 18. September?
17°C 99%
16°C 53%
15°C oder darunter 31%
18°C <1%
15°C oder darunter
31%
16°C
53%
17°C
99%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C oder höher
<1%
17°C 99%
16°C 53%
15°C oder darunter 31%
18°C <1%
15°C oder darunter
31%
16°C
53%
17°C
99%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from global and regional systems, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, support a nocturnal minimum near 17°C in Zhengzhou under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds under 5 km/h, and moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs of 28–29°C. Dew points around 15–17°C and relative humidity climbing above 70% overnight limit further drops, while the absence of a strong cold advection or precipitation maintains this range rather than pushing into the mid-teens. Historical September climatology for the region shows average lows near 16–18°C during similar high-pressure setups, aligning trader consensus with the 85% implied probability on 17°C. Updated model guidance expected from the China Meteorological Administration later today could refine these probabilities ahead of official station readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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