Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a commanding position in Ohio’s 15th congressional district, reflected in the market’s 78.5% consensus for the Republican Party. The seat carries a Cook Political Report R+5 partisan voting index and a Solid Republican rating, bolstered by Carey’s primary victory and the district’s consistent Republican lean in recent cycles. Democrat Don Leonard secured his party’s nomination in May but faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans by double-digit margins in prior elections. With the November 3 general election approaching, limited recent shifts in polling or campaign dynamics have kept probabilities stable, as traders weigh the incumbent’s advantages against any potential national midterm environment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertOH-15 Wahlsieger
OH-15 Wahlsieger
$10,501 Vol.
$10,501 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
79%
Demokratische Partei
19%
$10,501 Vol.
$10,501 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$4,609 Vol.
79%
Demokratische Partei
$5,891 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a commanding position in Ohio’s 15th congressional district, reflected in the market’s 78.5% consensus for the Republican Party. The seat carries a Cook Political Report R+5 partisan voting index and a Solid Republican rating, bolstered by Carey’s primary victory and the district’s consistent Republican lean in recent cycles. Democrat Don Leonard secured his party’s nomination in May but faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans by double-digit margins in prior elections. With the November 3 general election approaching, limited recent shifts in polling or campaign dynamics have kept probabilities stable, as traders weigh the incumbent’s advantages against any potential national midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$10,501Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a commanding position in Ohio’s 15th congressional district, reflected in the market’s 78.5% consensus for the Republican Party. The seat carries a Cook Political Report R+5 partisan voting index and a Solid Republican rating, bolstered by Carey’s primary victory and the district’s consistent Republican lean in recent cycles. Democrat Don Leonard secured his party’s nomination in May but faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans by double-digit margins in prior elections. With the November 3 general election approaching, limited recent shifts in polling or campaign dynamics have kept probabilities stable, as traders weigh the incumbent’s advantages against any potential national midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$10,501Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a commanding position in Ohio’s 15th congressional district, reflected in the market’s 78.5% consensus for the Republican Party. The seat carries a Cook Political Report R+5 partisan voting index and a Solid Republican rating, bolstered by Carey’s primary victory and the district’s consistent Republican lean in recent cycles. Democrat Don Leonard secured his party’s nomination in May but faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans by double-digit margins in prior elections. With the November 3 general election approaching, limited recent shifts in polling or campaign dynamics have kept probabilities stable, as traders weigh the incumbent’s advantages against any potential national midterm environment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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