Lorenia Valles Sampedro holds the lead in trader consensus for the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial race as the leading Morena-aligned contender, after stepping back from her Senate seat in mid-2026 to pursue state coordination of the ruling coalition. Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez and other opposition or independent figures such as Javier Lamarque Cano and Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas draw measurable support through early positioning events and alliance-building, reflecting Sonora's competitive multi-party landscape. With the June 2027 vote still nearly a year away and nominations not finalized, probabilities remain fragmented across more than two dozen names. Further separation could emerge from party primary outcomes, new statewide polling, coalition agreements, or shifts in federal dynamics that influence local turnout and endorsements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertLorenia Valles Sampedro 45%
Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez 23.3%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 18.4%
Natalia Rivera Grijalva 6%

Lorenia Valles Sampedro
45%

Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez
23%

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
18%

Natalia Rivera Grijalva
6%

Patricia Mercado Castro
5%

Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez
5%

Ernesto Gándara Camou
5%

Lilly Téllez García
5%

Célida Teresa López Cárdenas
4%

María Dolores del Río Sánchez
4%

Froylán Gámez Gamboa
4%

Rogelio Díaz Brown
4%

Guadalupe María Soto
4%

Manuel Scott Sánchez
3%

Heriberto Aguilar Castillo
2%

Javier Lamarque Cano
16%

Damián Zepeda Vidales
1%

Víctor Hugo Celaya
1%

Omar del Valle Colosio
1%
Lorenia Valles Sampedro 45%
Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez 23.3%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 18.4%
Natalia Rivera Grijalva 6%

Lorenia Valles Sampedro
45%

Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez
23%

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
18%

Natalia Rivera Grijalva
6%

Patricia Mercado Castro
5%

Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez
5%

Ernesto Gándara Camou
5%

Lilly Téllez García
5%

Célida Teresa López Cárdenas
4%

María Dolores del Río Sánchez
4%

Froylán Gámez Gamboa
4%

Rogelio Díaz Brown
4%

Guadalupe María Soto
4%

Manuel Scott Sánchez
3%

Heriberto Aguilar Castillo
2%

Javier Lamarque Cano
16%

Damián Zepeda Vidales
1%

Víctor Hugo Celaya
1%

Omar del Valle Colosio
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 5, 2026, 6:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Lorenia Valles Sampedro holds the lead in trader consensus for the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial race as the leading Morena-aligned contender, after stepping back from her Senate seat in mid-2026 to pursue state coordination of the ruling coalition. Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez and other opposition or independent figures such as Javier Lamarque Cano and Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas draw measurable support through early positioning events and alliance-building, reflecting Sonora's competitive multi-party landscape. With the June 2027 vote still nearly a year away and nominations not finalized, probabilities remain fragmented across more than two dozen names. Further separation could emerge from party primary outcomes, new statewide polling, coalition agreements, or shifts in federal dynamics that influence local turnout and endorsements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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