Diplomatic momentum for expanding the Abraham Accords has slowed sharply since Kazakhstan's formal accession in late 2025 and Israel's December 2025 recognition of Somaliland, which included a pledge to join but has not produced a signing. As of mid-May 2026, no new country has completed the required normalization agreement with Israel, and the June 30 deadline leaves insufficient runway for major candidates. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any deal on progress toward a Palestinian state, while potential partners such as Syria and Lebanon face unresolved security and political hurdles that block rapid advancement. U.S. diplomatic efforts have yielded no breakthroughs in recent weeks, leaving traders to price the high probability of no new formal accession by the cutoff.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$24,753 Vol.
$24,753 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
Ja
$24,753 Vol.
$24,753 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Diplomatic momentum for expanding the Abraham Accords has slowed sharply since Kazakhstan's formal accession in late 2025 and Israel's December 2025 recognition of Somaliland, which included a pledge to join but has not produced a signing. As of mid-May 2026, no new country has completed the required normalization agreement with Israel, and the June 30 deadline leaves insufficient runway for major candidates. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any deal on progress toward a Palestinian state, while potential partners such as Syria and Lebanon face unresolved security and political hurdles that block rapid advancement. U.S. diplomatic efforts have yielded no breakthroughs in recent weeks, leaving traders to price the high probability of no new formal accession by the cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volumen
$24,753Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Diplomatic momentum for expanding the Abraham Accords has slowed sharply since Kazakhstan's formal accession in late 2025 and Israel's December 2025 recognition of Somaliland, which included a pledge to join but has not produced a signing. As of mid-May 2026, no new country has completed the required normalization agreement with Israel, and the June 30 deadline leaves insufficient runway for major candidates. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any deal on progress toward a Palestinian state, while potential partners such as Syria and Lebanon face unresolved security and political hurdles that block rapid advancement. U.S. diplomatic efforts have yielded no breakthroughs in recent weeks, leaving traders to price the high probability of no new formal accession by the cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$24,753Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic momentum for expanding the Abraham Accords has slowed sharply since Kazakhstan's formal accession in late 2025 and Israel's December 2025 recognition of Somaliland, which included a pledge to join but has not produced a signing. As of mid-May 2026, no new country has completed the required normalization agreement with Israel, and the June 30 deadline leaves insufficient runway for major candidates. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any deal on progress toward a Palestinian state, while potential partners such as Syria and Lebanon face unresolved security and political hurdles that block rapid advancement. U.S. diplomatic efforts have yielded no breakthroughs in recent weeks, leaving traders to price the high probability of no new formal accession by the cutoff.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen