Ukrainian forces have conducted counteroffensives in the Hulyaipole direction of Zaporizhzhia Oblast since late January 2026, regaining ground and striking Russian logistics nodes including an ammunition depot near occupied Uspenivka in early April. These operations aim to disrupt Russian preparations for a spring-summer offensive while exploiting earlier advances that isolated Russian positions along the western bank of the Yanchul River. Russian troops captured Uspenivka in late 2025 after intense artillery and infantry assaults that created a pocket and threatened Ukrainian supply lines north of Hulyaipole. Trader sentiment reflects assessments of whether Ukrainian assault units can sustain momentum to re-enter the village before seasonal weather or Russian reinforcements alter the tactical balance, with ongoing drone and artillery exchanges shaping short-term control.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWird die Ukraine bis zum... wieder in Uspenivka einreisen?
$123,774 Vol.
31. Mai
16%
$123,774 Vol.
31. Mai
16%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 21, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian forces have conducted counteroffensives in the Hulyaipole direction of Zaporizhzhia Oblast since late January 2026, regaining ground and striking Russian logistics nodes including an ammunition depot near occupied Uspenivka in early April. These operations aim to disrupt Russian preparations for a spring-summer offensive while exploiting earlier advances that isolated Russian positions along the western bank of the Yanchul River. Russian troops captured Uspenivka in late 2025 after intense artillery and infantry assaults that created a pocket and threatened Ukrainian supply lines north of Hulyaipole. Trader sentiment reflects assessments of whether Ukrainian assault units can sustain momentum to re-enter the village before seasonal weather or Russian reinforcements alter the tactical balance, with ongoing drone and artillery exchanges shaping short-term control.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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