Florida's 1st congressional district remains one of the most Republican-leaning seats in the House, reflected in the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Jimmy Patronis won the 2025 special election by double digits after Matt Gaetz's resignation, and the district delivered large margins for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. With the general election set for November 2026 and the August 18 primary approaching, Democratic nominee Gay Valimont faces structural headwinds from the area's partisan voting index and limited crossover appeal. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic environment could narrow the gap, though historical base rates in comparable districts suggest such shifts rarely overcome the entrenched advantage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFL-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
FL-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$116,972 Vol.
$116,972 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
96%
Partido Demócrata
5%
$116,972 Vol.
$116,972 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$88,781 Vol.
96%
Partido Demócrata
$28,192 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 1st congressional district remains one of the most Republican-leaning seats in the House, reflected in the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Jimmy Patronis won the 2025 special election by double digits after Matt Gaetz's resignation, and the district delivered large margins for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. With the general election set for November 2026 and the August 18 primary approaching, Democratic nominee Gay Valimont faces structural headwinds from the area's partisan voting index and limited crossover appeal. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic environment could narrow the gap, though historical base rates in comparable districts suggest such shifts rarely overcome the entrenched advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volumen
$116,972Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 1st congressional district remains one of the most Republican-leaning seats in the House, reflected in the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Jimmy Patronis won the 2025 special election by double digits after Matt Gaetz's resignation, and the district delivered large margins for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. With the general election set for November 2026 and the August 18 primary approaching, Democratic nominee Gay Valimont faces structural headwinds from the area's partisan voting index and limited crossover appeal. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic environment could narrow the gap, though historical base rates in comparable districts suggest such shifts rarely overcome the entrenched advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$116,972Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 1st congressional district remains one of the most Republican-leaning seats in the House, reflected in the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Jimmy Patronis won the 2025 special election by double digits after Matt Gaetz's resignation, and the district delivered large margins for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. With the general election set for November 2026 and the August 18 primary approaching, Democratic nominee Gay Valimont faces structural headwinds from the area's partisan voting index and limited crossover appeal. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic environment could narrow the gap, though historical base rates in comparable districts suggest such shifts rarely overcome the entrenched advantage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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