Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a daytime maximum near 14°C at the official Ministro Pistarini station under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly flow. This cooler post-frontal air mass has suppressed temperatures 2–3°C below the May climatological average of 17–18°C, driving the overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for exactly 14°C as the highest temperature recorded today. Official observations align closely with model consensus, leaving minimal room for deviation. Only an unexpected late-day warming trend or measurement revision at the station could realistically shift the outcome toward 15°C or higher.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más alta en Buenos Aires el 17 de mayo?
14°C 99.8%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$37,127 Vol.
$37,127 Vol.
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.8%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$37,127 Vol.
$37,127 Vol.
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZRecent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a daytime maximum near 14°C at the official Ministro Pistarini station under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly flow. This cooler post-frontal air mass has suppressed temperatures 2–3°C below the May climatological average of 17–18°C, driving the overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for exactly 14°C as the highest temperature recorded today. Official observations align closely with model consensus, leaving minimal room for deviation. Only an unexpected late-day warming trend or measurement revision at the station could realistically shift the outcome toward 15°C or higher.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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