The close spread among 13°C–15°C outcomes reflects ensemble forecasts from models like the ECMWF and GFS showing a typical mid-autumn setup for Buenos Aires, with a stable high-pressure ridge and light southerly winds capping daytime heating near seasonal averages. Small differences in predicted cloud cover timing and any weak frontal boundary create the narrow range, as these subtle synoptic shifts can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Official station readings from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will resolve the exact peak, highlighting how short-term atmospheric variability drives tight market pricing for daily temperature events.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más alta en Buenos Aires el 17 de mayo?
14°C 38%
15°C 30%
13°C 24%
16°C 11%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
4%
13°C
24%
14°C
35%
15°C
30%
16°C
11%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
14°C 38%
15°C 30%
13°C 24%
16°C 11%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
4%
13°C
24%
14°C
35%
15°C
30%
16°C
11%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZThe close spread among 13°C–15°C outcomes reflects ensemble forecasts from models like the ECMWF and GFS showing a typical mid-autumn setup for Buenos Aires, with a stable high-pressure ridge and light southerly winds capping daytime heating near seasonal averages. Small differences in predicted cloud cover timing and any weak frontal boundary create the narrow range, as these subtle synoptic shifts can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Official station readings from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will resolve the exact peak, highlighting how short-term atmospheric variability drives tight market pricing for daily temperature events.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes