Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 34°C as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 13, backed by real-time BMKG observations showing a mid-afternoon peak of 34°C at key stations like Halim Perdanakusuma amid partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. This aligns with the latest short-range forecasts from BMKG and global models like GFS, projecting daytime highs of 33–34°C under tropical monsoon conditions typical for May's dry-season onset, where high solar insolation and urban heat island effects elevate temperatures above the 32°C monthly average. With evening cooling underway and sunset past, further spikes are unlikely, though an improbable late-day sunbreak or station measurement revision could challenge this positioning ahead of BMKG's official daily summary.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 13?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 13?
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$67,231 Vol.
$67,231 Vol.
13 may 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$67,231 Vol.
$67,231 Vol.
13 may 2026
29°C or below
$11,212 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,156 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,270 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,830 Vol.
No
33°C
$12,030 Vol.
No
34°C
$8,968 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$8,862 Vol.
No
36°C
$8,201 Vol.
No
37°C
$4,397 Vol.
No
38°C
$1,573 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$6,733 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 34°C as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 13, backed by real-time BMKG observations showing a mid-afternoon peak of 34°C at key stations like Halim Perdanakusuma amid partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. This aligns with the latest short-range forecasts from BMKG and global models like GFS, projecting daytime highs of 33–34°C under tropical monsoon conditions typical for May's dry-season onset, where high solar insolation and urban heat island effects elevate temperatures above the 32°C monthly average. With evening cooling underway and sunset past, further spikes are unlikely, though an improbable late-day sunbreak or station measurement revision could challenge this positioning ahead of BMKG's official daily summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 11, 2026, 12:52 AM ET
Volumen
$67,231Fecha de finalización
13 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 12:52 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 34°C as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 13, backed by real-time BMKG observations showing a mid-afternoon peak of 34°C at key stations like Halim Perdanakusuma amid partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. This aligns with the latest short-range forecasts from BMKG and global models like GFS, projecting daytime highs of 33–34°C under tropical monsoon conditions typical for May's dry-season onset, where high solar insolation and urban heat island effects elevate temperatures above the 32°C monthly average. With evening cooling underway and sunset past, further spikes are unlikely, though an improbable late-day sunbreak or station measurement revision could challenge this positioning ahead of BMKG's official daily summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$67,231Fecha de finalización
13 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 12:52 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 34°C as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 13, backed by real-time BMKG observations showing a mid-afternoon peak of 34°C at key stations like Halim Perdanakusuma amid partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. This aligns with the latest short-range forecasts from BMKG and global models like GFS, projecting daytime highs of 33–34°C under tropical monsoon conditions typical for May's dry-season onset, where high solar insolation and urban heat island effects elevate temperatures above the 32°C monthly average. With evening cooling underway and sunset past, further spikes are unlikely, though an improbable late-day sunbreak or station measurement revision could challenge this positioning ahead of BMKG's official daily summary.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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