Official India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow on September 13 project a daytime high of 33°C under partly cloudy skies with a chance of thundershowers, aligning with the market's strong 65.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Monsoon-season humidity, easterly winds, and persistent cloud cover typically cap peak readings in the low 30s Celsius during this period, consistent with historical September averages near 33–34°C. Recent model runs show limited upside potential for 34°C (20.5% odds) only if breaks in cloud cover allow brief intensification, while downside risks to 32°C remain lower given observed trends. Traders are pricing in the consensus forecast while noting typical forecast uncertainty from convective activity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 13 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 13 de septiembre?
33°C 66%
34°C 20%
32°C 14%
31°C 3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
28°C o menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
14%
33°C
66%
34°C
20%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C o más
<1%
33°C 66%
34°C 20%
32°C 14%
31°C 3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
28°C o menos
$628 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$506 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$182 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$338 Vol.
3%
32°C
$2,403 Vol.
14%
33°C
$1,323 Vol.
66%
34°C
$668 Vol.
20%
35°C
$1,086 Vol.
2%
36°C
$199 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$193 Vol.
<1%
38°C o más
$115 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow on September 13 project a daytime high of 33°C under partly cloudy skies with a chance of thundershowers, aligning with the market's strong 65.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Monsoon-season humidity, easterly winds, and persistent cloud cover typically cap peak readings in the low 30s Celsius during this period, consistent with historical September averages near 33–34°C. Recent model runs show limited upside potential for 34°C (20.5% odds) only if breaks in cloud cover allow brief intensification, while downside risks to 32°C remain lower given observed trends. Traders are pricing in the consensus forecast while noting typical forecast uncertainty from convective activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$7,640Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow on September 13 project a daytime high of 33°C under partly cloudy skies with a chance of thundershowers, aligning with the market's strong 65.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Monsoon-season humidity, easterly winds, and persistent cloud cover typically cap peak readings in the low 30s Celsius during this period, consistent with historical September averages near 33–34°C. Recent model runs show limited upside potential for 34°C (20.5% odds) only if breaks in cloud cover allow brief intensification, while downside risks to 32°C remain lower given observed trends. Traders are pricing in the consensus forecast while noting typical forecast uncertainty from convective activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,640Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow on September 13 project a daytime high of 33°C under partly cloudy skies with a chance of thundershowers, aligning with the market's strong 65.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Monsoon-season humidity, easterly winds, and persistent cloud cover typically cap peak readings in the low 30s Celsius during this period, consistent with historical September averages near 33–34°C. Recent model runs show limited upside potential for 34°C (20.5% odds) only if breaks in cloud cover allow brief intensification, while downside risks to 32°C remain lower given observed trends. Traders are pricing in the consensus forecast while noting typical forecast uncertainty from convective activity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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