Current atmospheric conditions over Moscow have produced a verified daily maximum surface air temperature of 18°C, as measured by official meteorological stations and consistent with model consensus from agencies tracking regional synoptic patterns. This outcome reflects cooler-than-average August advection of maritime air masses, suppressing typical seasonal highs near 22°C. The market's near-certain positioning on 18°C stems from real-time observational data and the proximity to day's end, leaving minimal scope for further warming. Only an unforecast late-day surge or measurement revision could alter resolution, though current stability in pressure and wind fields makes such shifts improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 14 de agosto?
18°C 100.0%
13°C o menos <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$37,002 Vol.
$37,002 Vol.
13°C o menos
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Sí
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C o más
No
18°C 100.0%
13°C o menos <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$37,002 Vol.
$37,002 Vol.
13°C o menos
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Sí
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C o más
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
Current atmospheric conditions over Moscow have produced a verified daily maximum surface air temperature of 18°C, as measured by official meteorological stations and consistent with model consensus from agencies tracking regional synoptic patterns. This outcome reflects cooler-than-average August advection of maritime air masses, suppressing typical seasonal highs near 22°C. The market's near-certain positioning on 18°C stems from real-time observational data and the proximity to day's end, leaving minimal scope for further warming. Only an unforecast late-day surge or measurement revision could alter resolution, though current stability in pressure and wind fields makes such shifts improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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