Recent forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show Moscow experiencing a warm southerly flow on May 18, with afternoon highs most likely peaking between 27°C and 30°C under mostly sunny conditions and light winds. This places the market's tightly clustered leading outcomes at 27–30°C, reflecting modest model spread in maximum temperature driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover timing. Climatologically, mid-May Moscow highs average near 19°C, so the current setup represents a significant positive anomaly tied to a transient ridge of high pressure. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak, as small shifts in the timing of any passing weak front could alter the diurnal maximum by 1–2°C.