National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on May 17 project mostly sunny skies with a daytime high in the low 70s°F at official stations like KSFO, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and reduced marine layer influence. This positions the 68°F-or-higher outcome at a market-implied 99.5 percent, consistent with mid-May climatology where clear conditions routinely push temperatures several degrees above seasonal averages. Model consensus from NOAA remains firm through the afternoon peak, though brief wind shifts or coastal fog could trim readings by a degree or two. Resolution hinges on the verified daily maximum, with final data expected shortly after sunset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 17 de mayo?
68°F or higher 100.0%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$24,967 Vol.
$24,967 Vol.
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F or higher
100%
68°F or higher 100.0%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$24,967 Vol.
$24,967 Vol.
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFONational Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on May 17 project mostly sunny skies with a daytime high in the low 70s°F at official stations like KSFO, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and reduced marine layer influence. This positions the 68°F-or-higher outcome at a market-implied 99.5 percent, consistent with mid-May climatology where clear conditions routinely push temperatures several degrees above seasonal averages. Model consensus from NOAA remains firm through the afternoon peak, though brief wind shifts or coastal fog could trim readings by a degree or two. Resolution hinges on the verified daily maximum, with final data expected shortly after sunset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes