Recent ensemble forecasts from global models point to scattered afternoon convection and variable cloud cover over the Pearl River Delta as the dominant influence on Shenzhen’s May 18 maximum temperature. Subtropical monsoon flow from the South China Sea supplies abundant moisture, promoting daytime heating that can reach 27–28 °C before thundershowers develop and reduce solar insolation. Subtle differences in forecast timing of these showers, boundary-layer humidity, and urban heat-island amplification explain why 27 °C and 28 °C currently command the tightest market-implied odds, while clearer-sky scenarios supporting 29 °C or higher remain possible but less favored. Updated runs from the European Centre and GFS will refine the convective initiation window and directly affect trader positioning ahead of the official Shenzhen Bao’an station observation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 18 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 18 de mayo?
27°C 29%
28°C 25%
29°C 16%
26°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 may 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
14%
27°C
29%
28°C
25%
29°C
16%
30°C
11%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 29%
28°C 25%
29°C 16%
26°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 may 2026
22°C or below
$105 Vol.
1%
23°C
$100 Vol.
1%
24°C
$65 Vol.
1%
25°C
$201 Vol.
3%
26°C
$0 Vol.
14%
27°C
$0 Vol.
29%
28°C
$0 Vol.
25%
29°C
$0 Vol.
16%
30°C
$0 Vol.
11%
31°C
$0 Vol.
3%
32°C or higher
$133 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models point to scattered afternoon convection and variable cloud cover over the Pearl River Delta as the dominant influence on Shenzhen’s May 18 maximum temperature. Subtropical monsoon flow from the South China Sea supplies abundant moisture, promoting daytime heating that can reach 27–28 °C before thundershowers develop and reduce solar insolation. Subtle differences in forecast timing of these showers, boundary-layer humidity, and urban heat-island amplification explain why 27 °C and 28 °C currently command the tightest market-implied odds, while clearer-sky scenarios supporting 29 °C or higher remain possible but less favored. Updated runs from the European Centre and GFS will refine the convective initiation window and directly affect trader positioning ahead of the official Shenzhen Bao’an station observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$604Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models point to scattered afternoon convection and variable cloud cover over the Pearl River Delta as the dominant influence on Shenzhen’s May 18 maximum temperature. Subtropical monsoon flow from the South China Sea supplies abundant moisture, promoting daytime heating that can reach 27–28 °C before thundershowers develop and reduce solar insolation. Subtle differences in forecast timing of these showers, boundary-layer humidity, and urban heat-island amplification explain why 27 °C and 28 °C currently command the tightest market-implied odds, while clearer-sky scenarios supporting 29 °C or higher remain possible but less favored. Updated runs from the European Centre and GFS will refine the convective initiation window and directly affect trader positioning ahead of the official Shenzhen Bao’an station observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$604Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZRecent ensemble forecasts from global models point to scattered afternoon convection and variable cloud cover over the Pearl River Delta as the dominant influence on Shenzhen’s May 18 maximum temperature. Subtropical monsoon flow from the South China Sea supplies abundant moisture, promoting daytime heating that can reach 27–28 °C before thundershowers develop and reduce solar insolation. Subtle differences in forecast timing of these showers, boundary-layer humidity, and urban heat-island amplification explain why 27 °C and 28 °C currently command the tightest market-implied odds, while clearer-sky scenarios supporting 29 °C or higher remain possible but less favored. Updated runs from the European Centre and GFS will refine the convective initiation window and directly affect trader positioning ahead of the official Shenzhen Bao’an station observation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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