Recent forecast model consensus from major meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum of 30°C in Tel Aviv on June 14, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, moderate westerly flow, and the moderating influence of the Mediterranean sea breeze that typically caps coastal highs near this level during early summer. Ensemble guidance shows narrow spread around this value, consistent with June climatology where average highs range 28–30°C. Market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of limited upside or downside risk absent significant deviations in steering patterns or timing of the sea breeze. A stronger-than-expected easterly continental flow or delayed breeze could push readings to 31–32°C, while an earlier or more vigorous sea breeze might hold the peak at 28–29°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 14?
30°C 99.8%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$32,670 Vol.
$32,670 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
30°C 99.8%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$32,670 Vol.
$32,670 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from major meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum of 30°C in Tel Aviv on June 14, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, moderate westerly flow, and the moderating influence of the Mediterranean sea breeze that typically caps coastal highs near this level during early summer. Ensemble guidance shows narrow spread around this value, consistent with June climatology where average highs range 28–30°C. Market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of limited upside or downside risk absent significant deviations in steering patterns or timing of the sea breeze. A stronger-than-expected easterly continental flow or delayed breeze could push readings to 31–32°C, while an earlier or more vigorous sea breeze might hold the peak at 28–29°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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