**Forecast models for coastal Tel Aviv on June 15, 2026, converge on a daily maximum near 28–29 °C, splitting trader probability almost evenly between those two bins.** Typical early-June conditions feature clear skies, moderate solar insolation, and a persistent Mediterranean sea breeze that caps afternoon peaks; current guidance shows little cloud cover or synoptic warming to push temperatures higher. Official and ensemble runs place the expected high around 27.8–28.9 °C (roughly 82–84 °F), with only minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or wind timing separating the 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes. Because the market resolves on the official highest recorded temperature, small forecast revisions in the final model update can readily shift the outcome between these adjacent values, keeping implied probabilities tightly matched at 43.5 % and 47.5 %. Higher or lower bins remain low-probability given both climatology and the absence of anomalous heat advection.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 15?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 15?
29°C 47%
28°C 44%
30°C 6.9%
27°C 3.7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
44%
29°C
47%
30°C
7%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 47%
28°C 44%
30°C 6.9%
27°C 3.7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
25°C or below
$695 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$906 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$405 Vol.
4%
28°C
$747 Vol.
44%
29°C
$1,059 Vol.
47%
30°C
$1,729 Vol.
7%
31°C
$493 Vol.
1%
32°C
$331 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$634 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$755 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$680 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for coastal Tel Aviv on June 15, 2026, converge on a daily maximum near 28–29 °C, splitting trader probability almost evenly between those two bins.**
Typical early-June conditions feature clear skies, moderate solar insolation, and a persistent Mediterranean sea breeze that caps afternoon peaks; current guidance shows little cloud cover or synoptic warming to push temperatures higher. Official and ensemble runs place the expected high around 27.8–28.9 °C (roughly 82–84 °F), with only minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or wind timing separating the 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes.
Because the market resolves on the official highest recorded temperature, small forecast revisions in the final model update can readily shift the outcome between these adjacent values, keeping implied probabilities tightly matched at 43.5 % and 47.5 %. Higher or lower bins remain low-probability given both climatology and the absence of anomalous heat advection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$8,423Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for coastal Tel Aviv on June 15, 2026, converge on a daily maximum near 28–29 °C, splitting trader probability almost evenly between those two bins.**
Typical early-June conditions feature clear skies, moderate solar insolation, and a persistent Mediterranean sea breeze that caps afternoon peaks; current guidance shows little cloud cover or synoptic warming to push temperatures higher. Official and ensemble runs place the expected high around 27.8–28.9 °C (roughly 82–84 °F), with only minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or wind timing separating the 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes.
Because the market resolves on the official highest recorded temperature, small forecast revisions in the final model update can readily shift the outcome between these adjacent values, keeping implied probabilities tightly matched at 43.5 % and 47.5 %. Higher or lower bins remain low-probability given both climatology and the absence of anomalous heat advection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,423Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for coastal Tel Aviv on June 15, 2026, converge on a daily maximum near 28–29 °C, splitting trader probability almost evenly between those two bins.** Typical early-June conditions feature clear skies, moderate solar insolation, and a persistent Mediterranean sea breeze that caps afternoon peaks; current guidance shows little cloud cover or synoptic warming to push temperatures higher. Official and ensemble runs place the expected high around 27.8–28.9 °C (roughly 82–84 °F), with only minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or wind timing separating the 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes. Because the market resolves on the official highest recorded temperature, small forecast revisions in the final model update can readily shift the outcome between these adjacent values, keeping implied probabilities tightly matched at 43.5 % and 47.5 %. Higher or lower bins remain low-probability given both climatology and the absence of anomalous heat advection.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes