**Market-implied probabilities favor a highest temperature of 29–30 °C in Tel Aviv on June 16, 2026 (combined ~66 %), with 31 °C a distant third.** Short-range forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service, timeanddate, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather converge on daytime maxima near 28–29 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and moderate north-westerly winds. These conditions align with typical early-June Mediterranean climatology for the coastal plain, where average highs reach ~29 °C and sea breezes often cap extreme heating. The narrow spread between 29 °C and 30 °C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and possible thin high cloud. Stronger afternoon sea breezes or slightly increased cloud cover could hold the maximum at 29 °C, while clearer skies and lighter winds would favor 30 °C or a brief spike to 31 °C. No major heatwave or anomalous synoptic setup is indicated in the latest model guidance, keeping the distribution tightly centered around the seasonal norm and explaining why lower or much higher outcomes carry minimal market weight. Updated official forecasts and observations on June 15–16 will be the key catalysts for any late shifts in trader positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 16?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 16?
30°C 38%
29°C 29%
31°C 17%
28°C 4.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
29%
30°C
38%
31°C
17%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
1%
30°C 38%
29°C 29%
31°C 17%
28°C 4.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
26°C or below
$426 Vol.
1%
27°C
$262 Vol.
1%
28°C
$377 Vol.
5%
29°C
$153 Vol.
29%
30°C
$153 Vol.
38%
31°C
$138 Vol.
17%
32°C
$82 Vol.
4%
33°C
$75 Vol.
1%
34°C
$265 Vol.
1%
35°C
$210 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$205 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied probabilities favor a highest temperature of 29–30 °C in Tel Aviv on June 16, 2026 (combined ~66 %), with 31 °C a distant third.** Short-range forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service, timeanddate, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather converge on daytime maxima near 28–29 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and moderate north-westerly winds. These conditions align with typical early-June Mediterranean climatology for the coastal plain, where average highs reach ~29 °C and sea breezes often cap extreme heating.
The narrow spread between 29 °C and 30 °C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and possible thin high cloud. Stronger afternoon sea breezes or slightly increased cloud cover could hold the maximum at 29 °C, while clearer skies and lighter winds would favor 30 °C or a brief spike to 31 °C. No major heatwave or anomalous synoptic setup is indicated in the latest model guidance, keeping the distribution tightly centered around the seasonal norm and explaining why lower or much higher outcomes carry minimal market weight. Updated official forecasts and observations on June 15–16 will be the key catalysts for any late shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$2,222Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied probabilities favor a highest temperature of 29–30 °C in Tel Aviv on June 16, 2026 (combined ~66 %), with 31 °C a distant third.** Short-range forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service, timeanddate, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather converge on daytime maxima near 28–29 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and moderate north-westerly winds. These conditions align with typical early-June Mediterranean climatology for the coastal plain, where average highs reach ~29 °C and sea breezes often cap extreme heating.
The narrow spread between 29 °C and 30 °C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and possible thin high cloud. Stronger afternoon sea breezes or slightly increased cloud cover could hold the maximum at 29 °C, while clearer skies and lighter winds would favor 30 °C or a brief spike to 31 °C. No major heatwave or anomalous synoptic setup is indicated in the latest model guidance, keeping the distribution tightly centered around the seasonal norm and explaining why lower or much higher outcomes carry minimal market weight. Updated official forecasts and observations on June 15–16 will be the key catalysts for any late shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,222Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied probabilities favor a highest temperature of 29–30 °C in Tel Aviv on June 16, 2026 (combined ~66 %), with 31 °C a distant third.** Short-range forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service, timeanddate, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather converge on daytime maxima near 28–29 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and moderate north-westerly winds. These conditions align with typical early-June Mediterranean climatology for the coastal plain, where average highs reach ~29 °C and sea breezes often cap extreme heating. The narrow spread between 29 °C and 30 °C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and possible thin high cloud. Stronger afternoon sea breezes or slightly increased cloud cover could hold the maximum at 29 °C, while clearer skies and lighter winds would favor 30 °C or a brief spike to 31 °C. No major heatwave or anomalous synoptic setup is indicated in the latest model guidance, keeping the distribution tightly centered around the seasonal norm and explaining why lower or much higher outcomes carry minimal market weight. Updated official forecasts and observations on June 15–16 will be the key catalysts for any late shifts in trader positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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