Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate a daytime high near 29–30°C in Tel Aviv on May 18, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and minimal cloud cover that favors surface heating. Coastal sea breezes and Mediterranean humidity introduce notable uncertainty, potentially capping peaks below 30°C or allowing brief surges toward 31–32°C depending on wind patterns and exact timing of maximum solar insolation. Historical May averages hover around 26–28°C, making the current trader distribution—with 30°C at 34.5% implied probability—reflect cautious optimism amid model spread. Final resolution hinges on official observations tomorrow, with any late-day wind shifts capable of altering the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 18 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 18 de mayo?
30°C 37%
31°C 21.9%
29°C 20%
32°C or higher 19.3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 may 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
20%
30°C
37%
31°C
22%
32°C or higher
19%
30°C 37%
31°C 21.9%
29°C 20%
32°C or higher 19.3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 may 2026
22°C or below
$982 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$574 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$400 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$303 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$551 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$661 Vol.
2%
28°C
$916 Vol.
3%
29°C
$975 Vol.
20%
30°C
$954 Vol.
37%
31°C
$1,738 Vol.
22%
32°C or higher
$666 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate a daytime high near 29–30°C in Tel Aviv on May 18, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and minimal cloud cover that favors surface heating. Coastal sea breezes and Mediterranean humidity introduce notable uncertainty, potentially capping peaks below 30°C or allowing brief surges toward 31–32°C depending on wind patterns and exact timing of maximum solar insolation. Historical May averages hover around 26–28°C, making the current trader distribution—with 30°C at 34.5% implied probability—reflect cautious optimism amid model spread. Final resolution hinges on official observations tomorrow, with any late-day wind shifts capable of altering the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$8,697Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate a daytime high near 29–30°C in Tel Aviv on May 18, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and minimal cloud cover that favors surface heating. Coastal sea breezes and Mediterranean humidity introduce notable uncertainty, potentially capping peaks below 30°C or allowing brief surges toward 31–32°C depending on wind patterns and exact timing of maximum solar insolation. Historical May averages hover around 26–28°C, making the current trader distribution—with 30°C at 34.5% implied probability—reflect cautious optimism amid model spread. Final resolution hinges on official observations tomorrow, with any late-day wind shifts capable of altering the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,697Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate a daytime high near 29–30°C in Tel Aviv on May 18, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and minimal cloud cover that favors surface heating. Coastal sea breezes and Mediterranean humidity introduce notable uncertainty, potentially capping peaks below 30°C or allowing brief surges toward 31–32°C depending on wind patterns and exact timing of maximum solar insolation. Historical May averages hover around 26–28°C, making the current trader distribution—with 30°C at 34.5% implied probability—reflect cautious optimism amid model spread. Final resolution hinges on official observations tomorrow, with any late-day wind shifts capable of altering the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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