Recent forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency points to a warmer southerly flow and ample sunshine over Tokyo on May 18, supporting the market's leading 65% implied probability for a high of 28 °C or above. Ensemble models show afternoon temperatures climbing well into the upper 20s under light winds and minimal cloud cover, exceeding the long-term mid-May average of 23–25 °C at the Otemachi station. With resolution hinging on the official daily maximum, any shift in the final model run or unexpected marine layer development could alter the outcome before observations close tomorrow afternoon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 18 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 18 de mayo?
28°C or higher 71%
27°C 22%
26°C 5.4%
25°C 1.9%
NUEVO
$22,324 Vol.
NUEVO
$22,324 Vol.
18 may 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
22%
28°C or higher
71%
28°C or higher 71%
27°C 22%
26°C 5.4%
25°C 1.9%
NUEVO
$22,324 Vol.
NUEVO
$22,324 Vol.
18 may 2026
18°C or below
$2,106 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,432 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,081 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,264 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,903 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,196 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,194 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,239 Vol.
2%
26°C
$2,484 Vol.
5%
27°C
$1,789 Vol.
22%
28°C or higher
$2,788 Vol.
71%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency points to a warmer southerly flow and ample sunshine over Tokyo on May 18, supporting the market's leading 65% implied probability for a high of 28 °C or above. Ensemble models show afternoon temperatures climbing well into the upper 20s under light winds and minimal cloud cover, exceeding the long-term mid-May average of 23–25 °C at the Otemachi station. With resolution hinging on the official daily maximum, any shift in the final model run or unexpected marine layer development could alter the outcome before observations close tomorrow afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$22,324Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency points to a warmer southerly flow and ample sunshine over Tokyo on May 18, supporting the market's leading 65% implied probability for a high of 28 °C or above. Ensemble models show afternoon temperatures climbing well into the upper 20s under light winds and minimal cloud cover, exceeding the long-term mid-May average of 23–25 °C at the Otemachi station. With resolution hinging on the official daily maximum, any shift in the final model run or unexpected marine layer development could alter the outcome before observations close tomorrow afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$22,324Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTRecent forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency points to a warmer southerly flow and ample sunshine over Tokyo on May 18, supporting the market's leading 65% implied probability for a high of 28 °C or above. Ensemble models show afternoon temperatures climbing well into the upper 20s under light winds and minimal cloud cover, exceeding the long-term mid-May average of 23–25 °C at the Otemachi station. With resolution hinging on the official daily maximum, any shift in the final model run or unexpected marine layer development could alter the outcome before observations close tomorrow afternoon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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