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icon for Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

icon for Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

21% probabilidad
Polymarket

$20,543 Vol.

21% probabilidad
Polymarket

$20,543 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Howard Lutnick remains the confirmed Secretary of Commerce, with Senate confirmation in February 2025 and no subsequent resignation, termination, or replacement signals through September 2026.** Recent reporting shows him actively advancing Trump administration priorities, including executing trade and investment commitments with Japan, Korea, and Taiwan, expanding U.S. semiconductor and advanced manufacturing capacity, and implementing tariff policies on autos and other sectors. Public appearances and statements in mid-to-late 2026 emphasize urgency on reshoring and supply-chain goals over the next two years, consistent with ongoing administration support. Past controversies, such as congressional scrutiny over Epstein ties and family business interests, produced Democratic criticism and oversight but have not prompted removal or shifted White House backing. Trader consensus reflected in the 77.5% “No” price aligns with this continuity in a second-term cabinet context where incumbents aligned with presidential objectives typically complete their terms absent major new developments.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$20,543
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Howard Lutnick remains the confirmed Secretary of Commerce, with Senate confirmation in February 2025 and no subsequent resignation, termination, or replacement signals through September 2026.** Recent reporting shows him actively advancing Trump administration priorities, including executing trade and investment commitments with Japan, Korea, and Taiwan, expanding U.S. semiconductor and advanced manufacturing capacity, and implementing tariff policies on autos and other sectors. Public appearances and statements in mid-to-late 2026 emphasize urgency on reshoring and supply-chain goals over the next two years, consistent with ongoing administration support. Past controversies, such as congressional scrutiny over Epstein ties and family business interests, produced Democratic criticism and oversight but have not prompted removal or shifted White House backing. Trader consensus reflected in the 77.5% “No” price aligns with this continuity in a second-term cabinet context where incumbents aligned with presidential objectives typically complete their terms absent major new developments.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$20,543
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 4:16 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 21% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 21¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 21% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?" ha generado $20.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 31, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?" es 21% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 21% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.