Recent July ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, just below consensus, combined with commentary noting temporary boosts from World Cup and U.S. anniversary events, anchor trader expectations for a modest August pullback amid resilient but uneven services expansion. Business activity and new orders strengthened in July while employment contracted and prices paid rose to 70.3, reflecting persistent cost pressures from petroleum inputs despite fewer tariff and geopolitical concerns. The closely matched probabilities around 53.0–54.9 reflect uncertainty over whether the services sector can sustain momentum above its 12-month average or cool toward 53 amid mixed leading indicators like slower supplier deliveries. Key swing factors include upcoming labor market data and any further moderation in inflation signals ahead of the September 3 release.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado54.0–54.9 31%
53.0–53.9 30%
55.0–55.9 17%
52.0–52.9 16%
$23,562 Vol.
$23,562 Vol.
3 sep 2026
<50.0
1%
50.0–50.9
1%
51.0–51.9
1%
52.0–52.9
16%
53.0–53.9
30%
54.0–54.9
31%
55.0–55.9
17%
56.0–56.9
5%
57.0–57.9
2%
58.0+
1%
54.0–54.9 31%
53.0–53.9 30%
55.0–55.9 17%
52.0–52.9 16%
$23,562 Vol.
$23,562 Vol.
3 sep 2026
<50.0
$523 Vol.
1%
50.0–50.9
$575 Vol.
1%
51.0–51.9
$604 Vol.
1%
52.0–52.9
$3,568 Vol.
16%
53.0–53.9
$8,738 Vol.
30%
54.0–54.9
$3,818 Vol.
31%
55.0–55.9
$3,832 Vol.
17%
56.0–56.9
$614 Vol.
5%
57.0–57.9
$667 Vol.
2%
58.0+
$624 Vol.
1%
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, just below consensus, combined with commentary noting temporary boosts from World Cup and U.S. anniversary events, anchor trader expectations for a modest August pullback amid resilient but uneven services expansion. Business activity and new orders strengthened in July while employment contracted and prices paid rose to 70.3, reflecting persistent cost pressures from petroleum inputs despite fewer tariff and geopolitical concerns. The closely matched probabilities around 53.0–54.9 reflect uncertainty over whether the services sector can sustain momentum above its 12-month average or cool toward 53 amid mixed leading indicators like slower supplier deliveries. Key swing factors include upcoming labor market data and any further moderation in inflation signals ahead of the September 3 release.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
Volumen
$23,562Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, just below consensus, combined with commentary noting temporary boosts from World Cup and U.S. anniversary events, anchor trader expectations for a modest August pullback amid resilient but uneven services expansion. Business activity and new orders strengthened in July while employment contracted and prices paid rose to 70.3, reflecting persistent cost pressures from petroleum inputs despite fewer tariff and geopolitical concerns. The closely matched probabilities around 53.0–54.9 reflect uncertainty over whether the services sector can sustain momentum above its 12-month average or cool toward 53 amid mixed leading indicators like slower supplier deliveries. Key swing factors include upcoming labor market data and any further moderation in inflation signals ahead of the September 3 release.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$23,562Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, just below consensus, combined with commentary noting temporary boosts from World Cup and U.S. anniversary events, anchor trader expectations for a modest August pullback amid resilient but uneven services expansion. Business activity and new orders strengthened in July while employment contracted and prices paid rose to 70.3, reflecting persistent cost pressures from petroleum inputs despite fewer tariff and geopolitical concerns. The closely matched probabilities around 53.0–54.9 reflect uncertainty over whether the services sector can sustain momentum above its 12-month average or cool toward 53 amid mixed leading indicators like slower supplier deliveries. Key swing factors include upcoming labor market data and any further moderation in inflation signals ahead of the September 3 release.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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