Amir Ohana leads Likud's August 17 primary for the Knesset candidate list, backed by recent internal polls showing him ahead among party members at roughly 73 percent support. Netanyahu's successful push for eight reserved high slots on the slate has narrowed open competition, while legal rulings on district seats and membership eligibility have shaped the field. Traders' consensus reflects these structural factors and Ohana's consistent edge over rivals such as Tally Gotliv and Yariv Levin, with low odds for alternatives or postponement aligning with the confirmed primary timeline ahead of the October election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAmir Ohana 74%
Tally Gotliv 16.1%
Yariv Levin 7.5%
Sin primarias antes de las elecciones a la Knéset 4.3%
$59,541 Vol.
$59,541 Vol.
26 oct 2026
Amir Ohana
74%
Tally Gotliv
16%
Yariv Levin
8%
Sin primarias antes de las elecciones a la Knéset
4%
Eli Cohen
4%
Boaz Bismuth
1%
Shlomo Karhi
1%
Moshe Saada
1%
David Amsalem
1%
Almog Cohen
1%
Amichai Chikli
1%
Yoav Kisch
1%
Israel Katz
<1%
Miri Regev
<1%
Nir Barkat
<1%
Miki Zohar
<1%
David Bitan
<1%
Amir Ohana 74%
Tally Gotliv 16.1%
Yariv Levin 7.5%
Sin primarias antes de las elecciones a la Knéset 4.3%
$59,541 Vol.
$59,541 Vol.
26 oct 2026
Amir Ohana
$19,036 Vol.
74%
Tally Gotliv
$12,409 Vol.
16%
Yariv Levin
$3,850 Vol.
8%
Sin primarias antes de las elecciones a la Knéset
$9,699 Vol.
4%
Eli Cohen
$1,430 Vol.
4%
Boaz Bismuth
$1,276 Vol.
1%
Shlomo Karhi
$1,005 Vol.
1%
Moshe Saada
$871 Vol.
1%
David Amsalem
$821 Vol.
1%
Almog Cohen
$898 Vol.
1%
Amichai Chikli
$899 Vol.
1%
Yoav Kisch
$830 Vol.
1%
Israel Katz
$2,234 Vol.
<1%
Miri Regev
$650 Vol.
<1%
Nir Barkat
$2,169 Vol.
<1%
Miki Zohar
$667 Vol.
<1%
David Bitan
$800 Vol.
<1%
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.Amir Ohana leads Likud's August 17 primary for the Knesset candidate list, backed by recent internal polls showing him ahead among party members at roughly 73 percent support. Netanyahu's successful push for eight reserved high slots on the slate has narrowed open competition, while legal rulings on district seats and membership eligibility have shaped the field. Traders' consensus reflects these structural factors and Ohana's consistent edge over rivals such as Tally Gotliv and Yariv Levin, with low odds for alternatives or postponement aligning with the confirmed primary timeline ahead of the October election.
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
Mercado abierto: Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
Volumen
$59,541Fecha de finalización
26 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.Amir Ohana leads Likud's August 17 primary for the Knesset candidate list, backed by recent internal polls showing him ahead among party members at roughly 73 percent support. Netanyahu's successful push for eight reserved high slots on the slate has narrowed open competition, while legal rulings on district seats and membership eligibility have shaped the field. Traders' consensus reflects these structural factors and Ohana's consistent edge over rivals such as Tally Gotliv and Yariv Levin, with low odds for alternatives or postponement aligning with the confirmed primary timeline ahead of the October election.
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
Volumen
$59,541Fecha de finalización
26 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Amir Ohana leads Likud's August 17 primary for the Knesset candidate list, backed by recent internal polls showing him ahead among party members at roughly 73 percent support. Netanyahu's successful push for eight reserved high slots on the slate has narrowed open competition, while legal rulings on district seats and membership eligibility have shaped the field. Traders' consensus reflects these structural factors and Ohana's consistent edge over rivals such as Tally Gotliv and Yariv Levin, with low odds for alternatives or postponement aligning with the confirmed primary timeline ahead of the October election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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