Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate overnight lows in Chengdu around 16–18°C on September 13, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and light winds that limit radiative cooling after sunset. These conditions moderate temperature drops compared to clearer nights, aligning with market-implied odds clustered tightly between 17°C and 18°C while allowing room for slightly cooler readings if skies clear or winds shift. Historical September baselines in the region typically feature minimums near 20°C early in the month, declining later, with urban effects and basin topography providing additional context for variability. Updated observations from official stations will resolve the exact minimum as the evening progresses.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Chengdu el 13 de septiembre?
14°C o menos 90%
15°C 90%
16°C 90%
18°C 54%
14°C o menos
90%
15°C
90%
16°C
90%
17°C
47%
18°C
54%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o más
<1%
14°C o menos 90%
15°C 90%
16°C 90%
18°C 54%
14°C o menos
90%
15°C
90%
16°C
90%
17°C
47%
18°C
54%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate overnight lows in Chengdu around 16–18°C on September 13, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and light winds that limit radiative cooling after sunset. These conditions moderate temperature drops compared to clearer nights, aligning with market-implied odds clustered tightly between 17°C and 18°C while allowing room for slightly cooler readings if skies clear or winds shift. Historical September baselines in the region typically feature minimums near 20°C early in the month, declining later, with urban effects and basin topography providing additional context for variability. Updated observations from official stations will resolve the exact minimum as the evening progresses.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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