**Trader consensus at 100% for a 12°C low in Paris on September 12 reflects alignment between official forecasts and climatological norms.** High-pressure conditions with light northwesterly winds and clearing skies overnight have promoted radiative cooling, consistent with GFS and ECMWF model runs showing minimum temperatures near 12°C (roughly 54°F) at representative stations. This matches the 1991–2020 average low of 11.8°C for the date, with limited model spread and no significant warm-air advection or cloud cover expected to elevate readings. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in low-level moisture or a shift in steering flow that delays nocturnal cooling, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low probability of deviation from the 12°C threshold by resolution time.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 12 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 12 de septiembre?
12°C 100.0%
8°C o menos <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$18,225 Vol.
$18,225 Vol.
12 sep 2026
8°C o menos
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Sí
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C o más
No
12°C 100.0%
8°C o menos <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$18,225 Vol.
$18,225 Vol.
12 sep 2026
8°C o menos
$95 Vol.
No
9°C
$15 Vol.
No
10°C
$95 Vol.
No
11°C
$1,258 Vol.
No
12°C
$2,440 Vol.
Sí
13°C
$11,518 Vol.
No
14°C
$2,519 Vol.
No
15°C
$234 Vol.
No
16°C
$35 Vol.
No
17°C
$0 Vol.
No
18°C o más
$15 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 12°C low in Paris on September 12 reflects alignment between official forecasts and climatological norms.** High-pressure conditions with light northwesterly winds and clearing skies overnight have promoted radiative cooling, consistent with GFS and ECMWF model runs showing minimum temperatures near 12°C (roughly 54°F) at representative stations. This matches the 1991–2020 average low of 11.8°C for the date, with limited model spread and no significant warm-air advection or cloud cover expected to elevate readings. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in low-level moisture or a shift in steering flow that delays nocturnal cooling, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low probability of deviation from the 12°C threshold by resolution time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$18,225Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 12°C low in Paris on September 12 reflects alignment between official forecasts and climatological norms.** High-pressure conditions with light northwesterly winds and clearing skies overnight have promoted radiative cooling, consistent with GFS and ECMWF model runs showing minimum temperatures near 12°C (roughly 54°F) at representative stations. This matches the 1991–2020 average low of 11.8°C for the date, with limited model spread and no significant warm-air advection or cloud cover expected to elevate readings. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in low-level moisture or a shift in steering flow that delays nocturnal cooling, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low probability of deviation from the 12°C threshold by resolution time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$18,225Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
**Trader consensus at 100% for a 12°C low in Paris on September 12 reflects alignment between official forecasts and climatological norms.** High-pressure conditions with light northwesterly winds and clearing skies overnight have promoted radiative cooling, consistent with GFS and ECMWF model runs showing minimum temperatures near 12°C (roughly 54°F) at representative stations. This matches the 1991–2020 average low of 11.8°C for the date, with limited model spread and no significant warm-air advection or cloud cover expected to elevate readings. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in low-level moisture or a shift in steering flow that delays nocturnal cooling, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low probability of deviation from the 12°C threshold by resolution time.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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