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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de New Hampshire

icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de New Hampshire
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de New Hampshire

$12,678 Vol.

Polymarket

$12,678 Vol.

Chris Pappas

$7,973 Vol.

91%

Karishma Manzur

$4,705 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Chris Pappas holds a commanding lead in the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary due to his established incumbency as the state's First District representative, strong name recognition, and overwhelming fundraising edge exceeding $9 million compared to challenger Karishma Manzur's more limited resources. Recent University of New Hampshire polling from April shows Pappas ahead by more than 40 points among likely Democratic primary voters, reflecting broad party support for his moderate record on issues such as child care and congressional votes. The September 8 primary date leaves limited time for Manzur, a progressive medical scientist making her first statewide run, to close the gap. Scenarios that could still shift trader consensus include late-breaking polling surges for Manzur, any unforeseen scandals or health developments affecting Pappas, or sudden changes in voter turnout dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$12,678
Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 26, 2025, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Chris Pappas holds a commanding lead in the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary due to his established incumbency as the state's First District representative, strong name recognition, and overwhelming fundraising edge exceeding $9 million compared to challenger Karishma Manzur's more limited resources. Recent University of New Hampshire polling from April shows Pappas ahead by more than 40 points among likely Democratic primary voters, reflecting broad party support for his moderate record on issues such as child care and congressional votes. The September 8 primary date leaves limited time for Manzur, a progressive medical scientist making her first statewide run, to close the gap. Scenarios that could still shift trader consensus include late-breaking polling surges for Manzur, any unforeseen scandals or health developments affecting Pappas, or sudden changes in voter turnout dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$12,678
Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 26, 2025, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de New Hampshire" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Chris Pappas" con 91%, seguido de "Karishma Manzur" con 5%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 91¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 91% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de New Hampshire" ha generado $12.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 26, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de New Hampshire", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de New Hampshire" es "Chris Pappas" con 91%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 91% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Karishma Manzur" con 5%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del Senado de New Hampshire" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.