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icon for Elecciones al Senado de Río de Janeiro: 2º lugar
Política·Brasil

Elecciones al Senado de Río de Janeiro: 2º lugar

icon for Elecciones al Senado de Río de Janeiro: 2º lugar
Política·Brasil

Elecciones al Senado de Río de Janeiro: 2º lugar

Marcelo Crivella 30%

Ó Clemente 27%

Marcos Dias 21%

Luciano Mattos 21%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Marcelo Crivella 30%

Ó Clemente 27%

Marcos Dias 21%

Luciano Mattos 21%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Marcelo Crivella

Marcelo Crivella

$41 Vol.

30%

icon for Ó Clemente

Ó Clemente

$41 Vol.

27%

icon for Marcos Dias

Marcos Dias

$41 Vol.

21%

icon for Luciano Mattos

Luciano Mattos

$41 Vol.

21%

icon for André Monteiro

André Monteiro

$41 Vol.

20%

icon for Monica Benicio

Monica Benicio

$61 Vol.

21%

icon for Benedita da Silva

Benedita da Silva

$61 Vol.

14%

icon for Luiz Eugenio

Luiz Eugenio

$80 Vol.

10%

icon for Helio Secco

Helio Secco

$62 Vol.

10%

icon for Pedro Paulo

Pedro Paulo

$41 Vol.

9%

icon for Carlos Portinho

Carlos Portinho

$41 Vol.

8%

icon for Michelly Xavier

Michelly Xavier

$78 Vol.

8%

icon for Vinicius Benevides

Vinicius Benevides

$41 Vol.

8%

icon for Carlos Jordy

Carlos Jordy

$41 Vol.

6%

icon for Paula Falcão

Paula Falcão

$41 Vol.

6%

icon for Waguinho

Waguinho

$41 Vol.

6%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Rio de Janeiro Senate race, Benedita da Silva leads polling averages while a crowded field contests second place ahead of the October 2026 vote. Recent July surveys from Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas show Marcelo Crivella, Pedro Paulo, Carlos Portinho, and others clustered in low single digits behind the PT candidate, with large shares of undecided and blank responses keeping margins narrow. Party ticket alignments, evangelical voter blocs, and investigations targeting some PL and União Brasil figures have reshaped the field without producing a clear runner-up. Trader consensus at even odds across many names reflects this dispersion and the potential for late shifts in turnout or endorsements to reorder the lower ranks before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$793
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Rio de Janeiro Senate race, Benedita da Silva leads polling averages while a crowded field contests second place ahead of the October 2026 vote. Recent July surveys from Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas show Marcelo Crivella, Pedro Paulo, Carlos Portinho, and others clustered in low single digits behind the PT candidate, with large shares of undecided and blank responses keeping margins narrow. Party ticket alignments, evangelical voter blocs, and investigations targeting some PL and União Brasil figures have reshaped the field without producing a clear runner-up. Trader consensus at even odds across many names reflects this dispersion and the potential for late shifts in turnout or endorsements to reorder the lower ranks before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$793
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Relacionado

icon for ¿Obtendrá Benedita da Silva la mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Río de Janeiro de 2026?

¿Obtendrá Benedita da Silva la mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Río de Janeiro de 2026?

44%
Sí
icon for ¿Renato Jaguarão obtendrá la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en la elección al Senado de Río Grande del Sur de 2026?

¿Renato Jaguarão obtendrá la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en la elección al Senado de Río Grande del Sur de 2026?

27%
Sí
icon for ¿Obtendrá Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en la elección al Senado de Rio Grande do Norte de 2026?

¿Obtendrá Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en la elección al Senado de Rio Grande do Norte de 2026?

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elecciones al Senado de Río de Janeiro: 2º lugar" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 16 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Marcelo Crivella" con 30%, seguido de "Ó Clemente" con 27%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 30¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 30% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Elecciones al Senado de Río de Janeiro: 2º lugar" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Elecciones al Senado de Río de Janeiro: 2º lugar", explora los 16 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elecciones al Senado de Río de Janeiro: 2º lugar" es "Marcelo Crivella" con 30%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 30% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Ó Clemente" con 27%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elecciones al Senado de Río de Janeiro: 2º lugar" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.