Russia’s political system under President Vladimir Putin remains a consolidated autocracy with no organized coup attempt recorded through mid-August 2026. Constitutional changes extended Putin’s potential rule to 2036, while opposition figures face imprisonment, exile, or elimination, and the United Russia party dominates institutions. European intelligence reports from March–May 2026 cited heightened Kremlin security and elite concerns, yet these produced only rumors without subsequent action or elite defections. Strains from the Ukraine conflict and economic pressures have not fractured the security services or generated viable alternatives, reinforcing trader consensus on regime continuity for the remainder of the year.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado7% probabilidad
$124,808 Vol.
$124,808 Vol.
31 dic 2026
7% probabilidad
$124,808 Vol.
$124,808 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia’s political system under President Vladimir Putin remains a consolidated autocracy with no organized coup attempt recorded through mid-August 2026. Constitutional changes extended Putin’s potential rule to 2036, while opposition figures face imprisonment, exile, or elimination, and the United Russia party dominates institutions. European intelligence reports from March–May 2026 cited heightened Kremlin security and elite concerns, yet these produced only rumors without subsequent action or elite defections. Strains from the Ukraine conflict and economic pressures have not fractured the security services or generated viable alternatives, reinforcing trader consensus on regime continuity for the remainder of the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Volumen
$124,808Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia’s political system under President Vladimir Putin remains a consolidated autocracy with no organized coup attempt recorded through mid-August 2026. Constitutional changes extended Putin’s potential rule to 2036, while opposition figures face imprisonment, exile, or elimination, and the United Russia party dominates institutions. European intelligence reports from March–May 2026 cited heightened Kremlin security and elite concerns, yet these produced only rumors without subsequent action or elite defections. Strains from the Ukraine conflict and economic pressures have not fractured the security services or generated viable alternatives, reinforcing trader consensus on regime continuity for the remainder of the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$124,808Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia’s political system under President Vladimir Putin remains a consolidated autocracy with no organized coup attempt recorded through mid-August 2026. Constitutional changes extended Putin’s potential rule to 2036, while opposition figures face imprisonment, exile, or elimination, and the United Russia party dominates institutions. European intelligence reports from March–May 2026 cited heightened Kremlin security and elite concerns, yet these produced only rumors without subsequent action or elite defections. Strains from the Ukraine conflict and economic pressures have not fractured the security services or generated viable alternatives, reinforcing trader consensus on regime continuity for the remainder of the year.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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