Recent Swedish opinion polls place Vänsterpartiet vote share in a narrow band between 6.5% and 7.8%, including Demoskop results near 6.5% in early August and Novus figures at 7.8% in July, aligning with the market’s tight contest between the 5-7% and 7-9% brackets. This positioning reflects stable but modest support within the broader red-green opposition bloc ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election, where the party competes for left-leaning voters alongside the larger Social Democrats. Historical precedent from the 2022 election (6.8%) and May SCB survey (8.6%) underscores limited volatility, while coalition dynamics and turnout patterns among progressive voters keep outcomes finely balanced. Late campaign events or shifts in bloc preferences could still alter final tallies within the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado7-9% 45%
5-7% 36%
<5% 10%
9%+ 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
<5%
10%
5-7%
36%
7-9%
45%
9%+
8%
7-9% 45%
5-7% 36%
<5% 10%
9%+ 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 sep 2026
<5%
$237 Vol.
10%
5-7%
$418 Vol.
36%
7-9%
$2,830 Vol.
45%
9%+
$213 Vol.
8%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Left Party (V) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls place Vänsterpartiet vote share in a narrow band between 6.5% and 7.8%, including Demoskop results near 6.5% in early August and Novus figures at 7.8% in July, aligning with the market’s tight contest between the 5-7% and 7-9% brackets. This positioning reflects stable but modest support within the broader red-green opposition bloc ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election, where the party competes for left-leaning voters alongside the larger Social Democrats. Historical precedent from the 2022 election (6.8%) and May SCB survey (8.6%) underscores limited volatility, while coalition dynamics and turnout patterns among progressive voters keep outcomes finely balanced. Late campaign events or shifts in bloc preferences could still alter final tallies within the resolution window.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Left Party (V) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Left Party (V) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 5:43 AM ET
Volumen
$3,697Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:43 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Left Party (V) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls place Vänsterpartiet vote share in a narrow band between 6.5% and 7.8%, including Demoskop results near 6.5% in early August and Novus figures at 7.8% in July, aligning with the market’s tight contest between the 5-7% and 7-9% brackets. This positioning reflects stable but modest support within the broader red-green opposition bloc ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election, where the party competes for left-leaning voters alongside the larger Social Democrats. Historical precedent from the 2022 election (6.8%) and May SCB survey (8.6%) underscores limited volatility, while coalition dynamics and turnout patterns among progressive voters keep outcomes finely balanced. Late campaign events or shifts in bloc preferences could still alter final tallies within the resolution window.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Left Party (V) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Left Party (V) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volumen
$3,697Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:43 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Swedish opinion polls place Vänsterpartiet vote share in a narrow band between 6.5% and 7.8%, including Demoskop results near 6.5% in early August and Novus figures at 7.8% in July, aligning with the market’s tight contest between the 5-7% and 7-9% brackets. This positioning reflects stable but modest support within the broader red-green opposition bloc ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election, where the party competes for left-leaning voters alongside the larger Social Democrats. Historical precedent from the 2022 election (6.8%) and May SCB survey (8.6%) underscores limited volatility, while coalition dynamics and turnout patterns among progressive voters keep outcomes finely balanced. Late campaign events or shifts in bloc preferences could still alter final tallies within the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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