Recent diplomatic statements from President Trump indicate that U.S. and Iranian negotiators have reached conceptual agreement on key elements, including limits on Iran's nuclear program, disposal of highly enriched uranium, and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for sanctions considerations. These comments, made in the past 48 hours, follow months of indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan amid a prior ceasefire framework. Iran has acknowledged ongoing discussions but described final terms as unresolved and cautioned against premature speculation. Trader consensus at 64.5% for a deal by July 31 reflects this momentum in bilateral engagement and shared interest in de-escalation, tempered by historical sticking points on verification and enrichment rights. Upcoming technical sessions could clarify whether outstanding details advance before the deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoUS-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
$340,216 Vol.
$340,216 Vol.
31 jul 2026
$340,216 Vol.
$340,216 Vol.
31 jul 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent diplomatic statements from President Trump indicate that U.S. and Iranian negotiators have reached conceptual agreement on key elements, including limits on Iran's nuclear program, disposal of highly enriched uranium, and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for sanctions considerations. These comments, made in the past 48 hours, follow months of indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan amid a prior ceasefire framework. Iran has acknowledged ongoing discussions but described final terms as unresolved and cautioned against premature speculation. Trader consensus at 64.5% for a deal by July 31 reflects this momentum in bilateral engagement and shared interest in de-escalation, tempered by historical sticking points on verification and enrichment rights. Upcoming technical sessions could clarify whether outstanding details advance before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Mercado abierto: May 26, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volumen
$340,216Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent diplomatic statements from President Trump indicate that U.S. and Iranian negotiators have reached conceptual agreement on key elements, including limits on Iran's nuclear program, disposal of highly enriched uranium, and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for sanctions considerations. These comments, made in the past 48 hours, follow months of indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan amid a prior ceasefire framework. Iran has acknowledged ongoing discussions but described final terms as unresolved and cautioned against premature speculation. Trader consensus at 64.5% for a deal by July 31 reflects this momentum in bilateral engagement and shared interest in de-escalation, tempered by historical sticking points on verification and enrichment rights. Upcoming technical sessions could clarify whether outstanding details advance before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volumen
$340,231Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic statements from President Trump indicate that U.S. and Iranian negotiators have reached conceptual agreement on key elements, including limits on Iran's nuclear program, disposal of highly enriched uranium, and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for sanctions considerations. These comments, made in the past 48 hours, follow months of indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan amid a prior ceasefire framework. Iran has acknowledged ongoing discussions but described final terms as unresolved and cautioned against premature speculation. Trader consensus at 64.5% for a deal by July 31 reflects this momentum in bilateral engagement and shared interest in de-escalation, tempered by historical sticking points on verification and enrichment rights. Upcoming technical sessions could clarify whether outstanding details advance before the deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes