Utah’s newly drawn 3rd congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+21 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 41-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent Celeste Maloy secured the GOP nomination in the June 23 primary by defeating Phil Lyman 68-32 percent, consolidating party support ahead of the November general election. Democratic nominee Kent Udell and minor-party candidates face structural barriers in a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. Traders assign the Republican Party a 93.5 percent implied probability because the seat’s voting patterns, fundraising advantages, and lack of competitive polling leave few realistic paths for an upset absent a major unforeseen development such as a candidate withdrawal or late scandal.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoUT-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
UT-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Demócrata
6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$4,448 Vol.
94%
Partido Demócrata
$2,432 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah’s newly drawn 3rd congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+21 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 41-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent Celeste Maloy secured the GOP nomination in the June 23 primary by defeating Phil Lyman 68-32 percent, consolidating party support ahead of the November general election. Democratic nominee Kent Udell and minor-party candidates face structural barriers in a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. Traders assign the Republican Party a 93.5 percent implied probability because the seat’s voting patterns, fundraising advantages, and lack of competitive polling leave few realistic paths for an upset absent a major unforeseen development such as a candidate withdrawal or late scandal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volumen
$6,879Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah’s newly drawn 3rd congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+21 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 41-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent Celeste Maloy secured the GOP nomination in the June 23 primary by defeating Phil Lyman 68-32 percent, consolidating party support ahead of the November general election. Democratic nominee Kent Udell and minor-party candidates face structural barriers in a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. Traders assign the Republican Party a 93.5 percent implied probability because the seat’s voting patterns, fundraising advantages, and lack of competitive polling leave few realistic paths for an upset absent a major unforeseen development such as a candidate withdrawal or late scandal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$6,879Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah’s newly drawn 3rd congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+21 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 41-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent Celeste Maloy secured the GOP nomination in the June 23 primary by defeating Phil Lyman 68-32 percent, consolidating party support ahead of the November general election. Democratic nominee Kent Udell and minor-party candidates face structural barriers in a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. Traders assign the Republican Party a 93.5 percent implied probability because the seat’s voting patterns, fundraising advantages, and lack of competitive polling leave few realistic paths for an upset absent a major unforeseen development such as a candidate withdrawal or late scandal.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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