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icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Elections·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Elections·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$53,943 Vol.

Apr 17, 2027
Polymarket

$53,943 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$3,570 Vol.

89%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$3,429 Vol.

88%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$2,084 Vol.

83%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$2,974 Vol.

73%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$468 Vol.

71%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$895 Vol.

55%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$818 Vol.

56%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$2,305 Vol.

55%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$275 Vol.

52%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$1,335 Vol.

50%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$2,066 Vol.

50%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$2,087 Vol.

44%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$1,615 Vol.

44%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$81 Vol.

40%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$1,419 Vol.

40%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$1,250 Vol.

35%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$1,346 Vol.

29%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$2,108 Vol.

30%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$395 Vol.

16%

icon for Matthieu Pigasse

Matthieu Pigasse

$4,360 Vol.

18%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$108 Vol.

27%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$688 Vol.

16%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$856 Vol.

13%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$441 Vol.

15%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$1,751 Vol.

14%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$747 Vol.

12%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$596 Vol.

11%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$998 Vol.

10%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$767 Vol.

10%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$1,488 Vol.

15%

icon for Michel-Edouard Leclerc

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

$1,151 Vol.

9%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$161 Vol.

9%

icon for Philippe de Villiers

Philippe de Villiers

$691 Vol.

8%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$496 Vol.

7%

icon for Manuel Valls

Manuel Valls

$350 Vol.

7%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$863 Vol.

7%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$237 Vol.

13%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$1,034 Vol.

6%

icon for Bally Bagayoko

Bally Bagayoko

$1,099 Vol.

5%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,573 Vol.

5%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$252 Vol.

5%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$343 Vol.

4%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$952 Vol.

4%

icon for Teddy Riner

Teddy Riner

$148 Vol.

4%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$477 Vol.

4%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$795 Vol.

3%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The upcoming July 7, 2026, Paris Court of Appeals ruling on Marine Le Pen’s embezzlement conviction and five-year public office ban remains the dominant factor shaping the field for the April 2027 French presidential election. An upheld decision would bar the National Rally leader and position her protégé Jordan Bardella as the party’s nominee, while a reversal could restore her eligibility. Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s May 2026 confirmation of his fourth candidacy has clarified the radical left’s position, though moderate left parties are still organizing a unitary primary. On the center-right, Bruno Retailleau secured the Republicans nomination in April, while figures such as Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal continue positioning themselves as potential consolidators against the far-right front-runner. These eligibility and coalition developments will determine which candidates ultimately qualify for the ballot.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$53,943
End Date
Apr 17, 2027
Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The upcoming July 7, 2026, Paris Court of Appeals ruling on Marine Le Pen’s embezzlement conviction and five-year public office ban remains the dominant factor shaping the field for the April 2027 French presidential election. An upheld decision would bar the National Rally leader and position her protégé Jordan Bardella as the party’s nominee, while a reversal could restore her eligibility. Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s May 2026 confirmation of his fourth candidacy has clarified the radical left’s position, though moderate left parties are still organizing a unitary primary. On the center-right, Bruno Retailleau secured the Republicans nomination in April, while figures such as Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal continue positioning themselves as potential consolidators against the far-right front-runner. These eligibility and coalition developments will determine which candidates ultimately qualify for the ballot.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$53,943
End Date
Apr 17, 2027
Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

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Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

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icon for Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

23%
icon for French election called by June 30, 2026?

French election called by June 30, 2026?

2%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 46+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" at 89%, followed by "Édouard Philippe" at 88%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" has generated $53.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?," browse the 46+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" is "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Édouard Philippe" at 88%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.